Current A100 rental rates cluster around $0.89–$1.90 per GPU-hour on-demand across marketplaces and neoclouds, with spot capacity dipping to $0.68, reflecting abundant secondary supply from providers like Vast.ai, RunPod, and Jarvislabs. Traders see the near-even odds between the $0.75–$1.00 and $1.00–$1.25 buckets as driven by flat 90-day median pricing near $1.84, ongoing migration of frontier workloads to H100/H200 and Blackwell GPUs, and steady but not explosive demand for Ampere-class inference and fine-tuning. Seasonal utilization patterns and incremental capacity releases into secondary markets could nudge rates within the $0.75–$1.25 band by late October, while hyperscaler premiums and any sudden training spikes remain the main swing factors that could push outcomes higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1.00-$1.25 40%
$0.75-$1.00 34%
$1.25-$1.50 9%
$0.50-$0.75 7.4%
$24,332 Vol.
$24,332 Vol.
<$0.50
1%
$0.50-$0.75
7%
$0.75-$1.00
34%
$1.00-$1.25
40%
$1.25-$1.50
9%
$1.50+
4%
$1.00-$1.25 40%
$0.75-$1.00 34%
$1.25-$1.50 9%
$0.50-$0.75 7.4%
$24,332 Vol.
$24,332 Vol.
<$0.50
1%
$0.50-$0.75
7%
$0.75-$1.00
34%
$1.00-$1.25
40%
$1.25-$1.50
9%
$1.50+
4%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the A100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 7:30 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the A100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current A100 rental rates cluster around $0.89–$1.90 per GPU-hour on-demand across marketplaces and neoclouds, with spot capacity dipping to $0.68, reflecting abundant secondary supply from providers like Vast.ai, RunPod, and Jarvislabs. Traders see the near-even odds between the $0.75–$1.00 and $1.00–$1.25 buckets as driven by flat 90-day median pricing near $1.84, ongoing migration of frontier workloads to H100/H200 and Blackwell GPUs, and steady but not explosive demand for Ampere-class inference and fine-tuning. Seasonal utilization patterns and incremental capacity releases into secondary markets could nudge rates within the $0.75–$1.25 band by late October, while hyperscaler premiums and any sudden training spikes remain the main swing factors that could push outcomes higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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