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icon for Colima Governor Election Winner
Politics·Mexico

Colima Governor Election Winner

icon for Colima Governor Election Winner
Politics·Mexico

Colima Governor Election Winner

Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera 87%

Riult Rivera Gutiérrez 5.3%

Griselda Martínez Martínez 3.9%

Gricelda Valencia de la Mora 2.8%

Polymarket

$34,040 Vol.

Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera 87%

Riult Rivera Gutiérrez 5.3%

Griselda Martínez Martínez 3.9%

Gricelda Valencia de la Mora 2.8%

Polymarket

$34,040 Vol.

icon for Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera

Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera

$22,285 Vol.

87%

icon for Riult Rivera Gutiérrez

Riult Rivera Gutiérrez

$1,212 Vol.

5%

icon for Griselda Martínez Martínez

Griselda Martínez Martínez

$1,024 Vol.

4%

icon for Gricelda Valencia de la Mora

Gricelda Valencia de la Mora

$905 Vol.

3%

icon for Joel Padilla Peña

Joel Padilla Peña

$353 Vol.

2%

icon for Sofía Peralta Ferro

Sofía Peralta Ferro

$425 Vol.

2%

icon for María Cristina Lupien

María Cristina Lupien

$442 Vol.

2%

icon for Virgilio Mendoza Amezcua

Virgilio Mendoza Amezcua

$406 Vol.

2%

icon for Margarita Moreno González

Margarita Moreno González

$456 Vol.

2%

icon for Gabriela Benavides Cobos

Gabriela Benavides Cobos

$387 Vol.

2%

icon for Mario Delgado Carrillo

Mario Delgado Carrillo

$1,506 Vol.

1%

icon for Mely Romero Celis

Mely Romero Celis

$452 Vol.

1%

icon for Enrique Rojas Orozco

Enrique Rojas Orozco

$458 Vol.

1%

icon for Leoncio Alfonso Morán Sánchez

Leoncio Alfonso Morán Sánchez

$380 Vol.

1%

icon for Viridiana Valencia Vargas

Viridiana Valencia Vargas

$463 Vol.

1%

icon for Ana Karen Hernández Aceves

Ana Karen Hernández Aceves

$434 Vol.

1%

icon for José Israel González

José Israel González

$417 Vol.

<1%

icon for César Yáñez Centeno

César Yáñez Centeno

$416 Vol.

<1%

icon for Esther Gutiérrez

Esther Gutiérrez

$418 Vol.

<1%

icon for Julia Licet Jiménez Angulo

Julia Licet Jiménez Angulo

$421 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hilda Lizette Moreno

Hilda Lizette Moreno

$367 Vol.

<1%

icon for José Manuel Romero Coello

José Manuel Romero Coello

$415 Vol.

<1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera holds an 86.5% implied probability in the Colima governor race because Morena designated her as state coordinator for the defense of the transformation in late August 2026, following her June registration in the party’s internal process alongside figures such as Gricelda Valencia de la Mora and Joel Padilla Peña. As former Manzanillo mayor with ties to outgoing Governor Indira Vizcaíno and the federal 4T project, she benefits from early positioning ahead of the June 2027 election, where Morena and its allies hold a structural advantage in the state. Opposition names including Riult Rivera Gutiérrez, Mely Romero Celis, and others remain fragmented with single-digit or lower probabilities, reflecting the absence of consolidated challengers or finalized party tickets. Trader consensus prices these early institutional steps as the dominant factor until formal nominations and broader polling emerge.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$34,040
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera holds an 86.5% implied probability in the Colima governor race because Morena designated her as state coordinator for the defense of the transformation in late August 2026, following her June registration in the party’s internal process alongside figures such as Gricelda Valencia de la Mora and Joel Padilla Peña. As former Manzanillo mayor with ties to outgoing Governor Indira Vizcaíno and the federal 4T project, she benefits from early positioning ahead of the June 2027 election, where Morena and its allies hold a structural advantage in the state. Opposition names including Riult Rivera Gutiérrez, Mely Romero Celis, and others remain fragmented with single-digit or lower probabilities, reflecting the absence of consolidated challengers or finalized party tickets. Trader consensus prices these early institutional steps as the dominant factor until formal nominations and broader polling emerge.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$34,040
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Colima Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera" at 87%, followed by "Riult Rivera Gutiérrez" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 87¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Colima Governor Election Winner" has generated $34K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Colima Governor Election Winner," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Colima Governor Election Winner" is "Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera" at 87%, meaning the market assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Riult Rivera Gutiérrez" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Colima Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.