**Recent polling averages place Die Linke in a tight 19–20% range ahead of the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, reflecting gains from its 12.2% result in the 2023 repeat vote amid sharp SPD declines and voter dissatisfaction with the CDU-SPD coalition.** Multiple surveys from Infratest dimap, Forsa, Civey, and INSA in August and early September show the party, led by top candidate Elif Eralp, often edging or tying the CDU (around 19–21%) while AfD sits close behind at 17–18%; Greens hover near 16–18%. Linke support centers on housing affordability and social policy in a fragmented field where no two-party coalition currently reaches a majority. Minor late-August fluctuations, including a dip to 19% in one Infratest dimap reading, have kept implied probabilities concentrated in the 17–23% bands, with traders viewing further separation as dependent on final-week turnout among left-leaning and protest voters or any last-minute shifts in the close three-way contest for first place.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated17-20% 42%
20-23% 33%
<17% 19%
23%+ 11%
$38,212 Vol.
$38,212 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
<17%
19%
17-20%
42%
20-23%
33%
23%+
11%
17-20% 42%
20-23% 33%
<17% 19%
23%+ 11%
$38,212 Vol.
$38,212 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
<17%
$8,755 Vol.
19%
17-20%
$10,900 Vol.
42%
20-23%
$10,350 Vol.
33%
23%+
$8,205 Vol.
11%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).**Recent polling averages place Die Linke in a tight 19–20% range ahead of the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, reflecting gains from its 12.2% result in the 2023 repeat vote amid sharp SPD declines and voter dissatisfaction with the CDU-SPD coalition.**
Multiple surveys from Infratest dimap, Forsa, Civey, and INSA in August and early September show the party, led by top candidate Elif Eralp, often edging or tying the CDU (around 19–21%) while AfD sits close behind at 17–18%; Greens hover near 16–18%. Linke support centers on housing affordability and social policy in a fragmented field where no two-party coalition currently reaches a majority. Minor late-August fluctuations, including a dip to 19% in one Infratest dimap reading, have kept implied probabilities concentrated in the 17–23% bands, with traders viewing further separation as dependent on final-week turnout among left-leaning and protest voters or any last-minute shifts in the close three-way contest for first place.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
Volume
$38,212End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).**Recent polling averages place Die Linke in a tight 19–20% range ahead of the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, reflecting gains from its 12.2% result in the 2023 repeat vote amid sharp SPD declines and voter dissatisfaction with the CDU-SPD coalition.**
Multiple surveys from Infratest dimap, Forsa, Civey, and INSA in August and early September show the party, led by top candidate Elif Eralp, often edging or tying the CDU (around 19–21%) while AfD sits close behind at 17–18%; Greens hover near 16–18%. Linke support centers on housing affordability and social policy in a fragmented field where no two-party coalition currently reaches a majority. Minor late-August fluctuations, including a dip to 19% in one Infratest dimap reading, have kept implied probabilities concentrated in the 17–23% bands, with traders viewing further separation as dependent on final-week turnout among left-leaning and protest voters or any last-minute shifts in the close three-way contest for first place.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Volume
$38,212End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent polling averages place Die Linke in a tight 19–20% range ahead of the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, reflecting gains from its 12.2% result in the 2023 repeat vote amid sharp SPD declines and voter dissatisfaction with the CDU-SPD coalition.** Multiple surveys from Infratest dimap, Forsa, Civey, and INSA in August and early September show the party, led by top candidate Elif Eralp, often edging or tying the CDU (around 19–21%) while AfD sits close behind at 17–18%; Greens hover near 16–18%. Linke support centers on housing affordability and social policy in a fragmented field where no two-party coalition currently reaches a majority. Minor late-August fluctuations, including a dip to 19% in one Infratest dimap reading, have kept implied probabilities concentrated in the 17–23% bands, with traders viewing further separation as dependent on final-week turnout among left-leaning and protest voters or any last-minute shifts in the close three-way contest for first place.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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