Supreme Leader predictions & odds

Geopolitics·North Korea

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

$195K Vol.

$19.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$195K Vol.

$19.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

$626K Vol.

$14.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

December 31

$626K Vol.

$14.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Ayatollah

Iran leadership change by...?

$25M Vol.

$292K today

$629K Liq.

1,094

Ends in 10 months

25%

June 30, 2027

$25M Vol.

$292K today

$629K Liq.

1,094

Ends in 10 months

Politics·Starmer

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)

$265K Vol.

$332K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

39%

Netanyahu - Israel PM

$265K Vol.

$332K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

$26M Vol.

$69.4K today

$642K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$26M Vol.

$69.4K today

$642K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

$2M Vol.

$196K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

$2M Vol.

$196K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Geopolitics·Iran

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

$7M Vol.

$136K Liq.

425

Ends in 4 months

22%

December 31

$7M Vol.

$136K Liq.

425

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Trump

Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?

$263 Vol.

$10.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$263 Vol.

$10.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

$635K Vol.

$40.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$635K Vol.

$40.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·China

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

$210K Vol.

$103K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Dong Jun

$210K Vol.

$103K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Earn 4%

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

$13M Vol.

$176K Liq.

709

Ends in 4 months

$13M Vol.

$176K Liq.

709

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Maduro

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

$96M Vol.

$2M Liq.

381

Ends in 4 months

83%

Nicolás Maduro

$96M Vol.

$2M Liq.

381

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Israel

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

$942K Vol.

$16.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

11%

December 31, 2026

$942K Vol.

$16.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Elections·Midterms

Next Senate Majority Leader?

$155K Vol.

$236K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

45%

John Thune

$155K Vol.

$236K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Trump

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

$389K Vol.

$217K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

94%

Delcy Rodríguez

$389K Vol.

$217K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·China

Xi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by...?

$46.4K Vol.

$19.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

91%

December 31

$46.4K Vol.

$19.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Esports·League Of Legends

Will Faker become president of South Korea by the end of the year?

$112 Vol.

$740 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$112 Vol.

$740 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Bahrain

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?

$308K Vol.

$19.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

December 31

$308K Vol.

$19.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Israel

Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?

$70.4K Vol.

$11.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$70.4K Vol.

$11.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·China

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

$106K Vol.

$10.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$106K Vol.

$10.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

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Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Supreme Leader.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Supreme Leader that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $172.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Xi Jinping out before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Venezuela leader end of 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Venezuela leader end of 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 82% chance to Nicolás Maduro. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Supreme Leader predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Supreme Leader shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Venezuela leader end of 2026?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Supreme Leader prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Supreme Leader prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Supreme Leader predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

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What types of Supreme Leader prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Supreme Leader markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Supreme Leader prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Supreme Leader predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Supreme Leader odds?

Can I track Supreme Leader predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Supreme Leader markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Supreme Leader prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Supreme Leader markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Supreme Leader prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Supreme Leader predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Supreme Leader odds?

Can I track Supreme Leader predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Supreme Leader markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Supreme Leader predictions & odds