Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign and loyalty enforcement have driven extensive removals from the People’s Liberation Army high command and select civilian leaders since 2022, with acceleration in 2025–2026. Over 100 senior PLA officers, including multiple Central Military Commission members such as Zhang Youxia and He Weidong, have been investigated or dismissed, leaving only one uniformed general on the CMC and affecting roughly half of top leadership positions. The July 2026 expulsion of Politburo member Ma Xingrui marked the third such removal in the term, signaling that even close associates and civilian officials remain vulnerable. Traders monitor factional networks, public absences from key events, and discipline inspection announcements for signals of future targets, as these purges reshape command structures ahead of potential leadership transitions or policy deadlines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$209,657 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Dong Jun
9%
Zhang Shengmin
8%
Zhao Leji
5%
Cai Qi
4%
Wang Huning
4%
Ding Xuexiang
4%
Wang Yi
2%
Li Qiang
1%
Li Xi
1%
$209,657 Vol.
Dong Jun
$39,540 Vol.
9%
Zhang Shengmin
$29,757 Vol.
8%
Zhao Leji
$11,160 Vol.
5%
Cai Qi
$49,025 Vol.
4%
Wang Huning
$12,077 Vol.
4%
Ding Xuexiang
$16,167 Vol.
4%
Wang Yi
$15,679 Vol.
2%
Li Qiang
$7,032 Vol.
1%
Li Xi
$29,221 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign and loyalty enforcement have driven extensive removals from the People’s Liberation Army high command and select civilian leaders since 2022, with acceleration in 2025–2026. Over 100 senior PLA officers, including multiple Central Military Commission members such as Zhang Youxia and He Weidong, have been investigated or dismissed, leaving only one uniformed general on the CMC and affecting roughly half of top leadership positions. The July 2026 expulsion of Politburo member Ma Xingrui marked the third such removal in the term, signaling that even close associates and civilian officials remain vulnerable. Traders monitor factional networks, public absences from key events, and discipline inspection announcements for signals of future targets, as these purges reshape command structures ahead of potential leadership transitions or policy deadlines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volume
$209,657End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign and loyalty enforcement have driven extensive removals from the People’s Liberation Army high command and select civilian leaders since 2022, with acceleration in 2025–2026. Over 100 senior PLA officers, including multiple Central Military Commission members such as Zhang Youxia and He Weidong, have been investigated or dismissed, leaving only one uniformed general on the CMC and affecting roughly half of top leadership positions. The July 2026 expulsion of Politburo member Ma Xingrui marked the third such removal in the term, signaling that even close associates and civilian officials remain vulnerable. Traders monitor factional networks, public absences from key events, and discipline inspection announcements for signals of future targets, as these purges reshape command structures ahead of potential leadership transitions or policy deadlines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$209,657End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign and loyalty enforcement have driven extensive removals from the People’s Liberation Army high command and select civilian leaders since 2022, with acceleration in 2025–2026. Over 100 senior PLA officers, including multiple Central Military Commission members such as Zhang Youxia and He Weidong, have been investigated or dismissed, leaving only one uniformed general on the CMC and affecting roughly half of top leadership positions. The July 2026 expulsion of Politburo member Ma Xingrui marked the third such removal in the term, signaling that even close associates and civilian officials remain vulnerable. Traders monitor factional networks, public absences from key events, and discipline inspection announcements for signals of future targets, as these purges reshape command structures ahead of potential leadership transitions or policy deadlines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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