Global Temp predictions & odds

Weather·Global Temp

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

$3M Vol.

$120K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

75%

$3M Vol.

$120K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Weather·Global Temp

August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) (HIGHER STRIKES)

$20.5K Vol.

$9.9K Liq.

90%

1.38–1.41ºC

$20.5K Vol.

$9.9K Liq.

Weather·Global Temp

September 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?

$730 Vol.

$478 Liq.

Ends in 25 days

54%

2nd hottest

$730 Vol.

$478 Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Weather·Global Temp

August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

$14.2K Vol.

$9.7K Liq.

100%

>1.29ºC

$14.2K Vol.

$9.7K Liq.

Weather·Global Temp

2026 August 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

$2.3K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

99%

1st hottest

$2.3K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Weather·Climate

September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

$0 Vol.

$7 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

50%

>1.49ºC

$0 Vol.

$7 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Weather·Daily Temperature

Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 7?

$2.2K Vol.

$46.2K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

41%

35°C

$2.2K Vol.

$46.2K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

How many all-time high temperature records will be broken at US weather stations in August 2026?

$714 Vol.

$234 Liq.

Ends in 9 days

29%

21-60

$714 Vol.

$234 Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Weather·Daily Temperature

Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 6?

$13.6K Vol.

$22.6K Liq.

Ends in about 13 hours

32%

32°C

$13.6K Vol.

$22.6K Liq.

Ends in about 13 hours

Weather·Climate Change

Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?

$1.4K Vol.

$247 Liq.

Ends in 25 days

97%

$1.4K Vol.

$247 Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Weather·Daily Temperature

Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 5?

$2.5K Vol.

$9.0K Liq.

88%

23°C

$2.5K Vol.

$9.0K Liq.

Weather·Daily Temperature

Highest temperature in Busan on September 6?

$20.5K Vol.

$40.4K Liq.

Ends in about 13 hours

50%

29°C

$20.5K Vol.

$40.4K Liq.

Ends in about 13 hours

Weather·Daily Temperature

Highest temperature in Busan on September 7?

$2.9K Vol.

$60.3K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

46%

29°C

$2.9K Vol.

$60.3K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Weather·Daily Temperature

Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 7?

$0 Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

38%

25°C

$0 Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Weather·Daily Temperature

Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 7?

$3.0K Vol.

$36.7K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

46%

33°C

$3.0K Vol.

$36.7K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Weather·Daily Temperature

Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 6?

$876 Vol.

$27.5K Liq.

Ends in about 13 hours

49%

22°C

$876 Vol.

$27.5K Liq.

Ends in about 13 hours

Weather·Daily Temperature

Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 6?

$11.1K Vol.

$31.5K Liq.

Ends in about 13 hours

54%

33°C

$11.1K Vol.

$31.5K Liq.

Ends in about 13 hours

Weather·Daily Temperature

Highest temperature in Singapore on September 6?

$59.5K Vol.

$27.3K Liq.

Ends in about 13 hours

79%

33°C

$59.5K Vol.

$27.3K Liq.

Ends in about 13 hours

Weather·Daily Temperature

Highest temperature in Singapore on September 7?

$9.9K Vol.

$60.8K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

67%

33°C

$9.9K Vol.

$60.8K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Weather·Daily Temperature

Highest temperature in Cape Town on September 6?

$12.5K Vol.

$28.8K Liq.

Ends in about 13 hours

35%

26°C

$12.5K Vol.

$28.8K Liq.

Ends in about 13 hours

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Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Global Temp.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Global Temp that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $3.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 75% chance to 1. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Global Temp predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Global Temp shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Global Temp prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Global Temp prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Global Temp predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Global Temp prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Global Temp markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Global Temp prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Global Temp predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Global Temp odds?

Can I track Global Temp predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Global Temp markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Global Temp prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Global Temp markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Global Temp prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Global Temp predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Global Temp odds?

Can I track Global Temp predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Global Temp markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Global Temp predictions & odds