President Donald Trump has shown no public or private signals of stepping down before the end of 2026, continuing active engagement in legislative priorities, foreign policy decisions, and midterm campaign travel as of early September. Trader consensus at 96.5 percent on "No" aligns with the historical rarity of presidential resignations absent acute crises, reinforced by the absence of impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment invocations, or sustained cabinet-level pressure. Speculation from critics citing age, health, or electoral setbacks has not produced verifiable evidence of incapacity or intent to resign. A sudden medical event, major legal development raising Senate conviction risk, or unprecedented party-driven pressure could still shift probabilities, though current indicators show none underway.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated4% chance
$537,388 Vol.
$537,388 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
4% chance
$537,388 Vol.
$537,388 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Donald Trump has shown no public or private signals of stepping down before the end of 2026, continuing active engagement in legislative priorities, foreign policy decisions, and midterm campaign travel as of early September. Trader consensus at 96.5 percent on "No" aligns with the historical rarity of presidential resignations absent acute crises, reinforced by the absence of impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment invocations, or sustained cabinet-level pressure. Speculation from critics citing age, health, or electoral setbacks has not produced verifiable evidence of incapacity or intent to resign. A sudden medical event, major legal development raising Senate conviction risk, or unprecedented party-driven pressure could still shift probabilities, though current indicators show none underway.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
Volume
$537,388End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Donald Trump has shown no public or private signals of stepping down before the end of 2026, continuing active engagement in legislative priorities, foreign policy decisions, and midterm campaign travel as of early September. Trader consensus at 96.5 percent on "No" aligns with the historical rarity of presidential resignations absent acute crises, reinforced by the absence of impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment invocations, or sustained cabinet-level pressure. Speculation from critics citing age, health, or electoral setbacks has not produced verifiable evidence of incapacity or intent to resign. A sudden medical event, major legal development raising Senate conviction risk, or unprecedented party-driven pressure could still shift probabilities, though current indicators show none underway.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$537,388End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...President Donald Trump has shown no public or private signals of stepping down before the end of 2026, continuing active engagement in legislative priorities, foreign policy decisions, and midterm campaign travel as of early September. Trader consensus at 96.5 percent on "No" aligns with the historical rarity of presidential resignations absent acute crises, reinforced by the absence of impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment invocations, or sustained cabinet-level pressure. Speculation from critics citing age, health, or electoral setbacks has not produced verifiable evidence of incapacity or intent to resign. A sudden medical event, major legal development raising Senate conviction risk, or unprecedented party-driven pressure could still shift probabilities, though current indicators show none underway.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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