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icon for Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by...?

Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by...?

icon for Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by...?

Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by...?

NEW
Sep 7, 2026
Polymarket

$1,460 Vol.

Polymarket

September 7

$269 Vol.

50%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mark Carney speaks with Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between Mark Carney and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe. If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Trump and Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney have maintained regular contact through phone calls and in-person discussions on trade negotiations, tariffs, security cooperation, and regional issues including NATO and the Middle East. Multiple calls occurred in August 2026 ahead of U.S. tariff deadlines affecting Canadian exports, with further exchanges noted into September amid stalled talks and public statements from both sides on renegotiating elements of the USMCA framework. Carney has described recent conversations as constructive while emphasizing Canada's readiness to resume formal negotiations, and Trump has referenced ongoing bilateral engagement in public remarks. Scheduled diplomatic events and any new tariff announcements within the market's resolution window remain key variables that could prompt additional outreach.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mark Carney speaks with Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between Mark Carney and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered.

Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question.

This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe.

If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mark Carney speaks with Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between Mark Carney and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe. If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volume
$1,460
End Date
Sep 8, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mark Carney speaks with Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between Mark Carney and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe. If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Trump and Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney have maintained regular contact through phone calls and in-person discussions on trade negotiations, tariffs, security cooperation, and regional issues including NATO and the Middle East. Multiple calls occurred in August 2026 ahead of U.S. tariff deadlines affecting Canadian exports, with further exchanges noted into September amid stalled talks and public statements from both sides on renegotiating elements of the USMCA framework. Carney has described recent conversations as constructive while emphasizing Canada's readiness to resume formal negotiations, and Trump has referenced ongoing bilateral engagement in public remarks. Scheduled diplomatic events and any new tariff announcements within the market's resolution window remain key variables that could prompt additional outreach.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mark Carney speaks with Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between Mark Carney and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered.

Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question.

This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe.

If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mark Carney speaks with Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between Mark Carney and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe. If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volume
$1,460
End Date
Sep 8, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 6:19 PM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "September 7" at 50%, followed by "August 31" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by...?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 26, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by...?" is "September 7" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "August 31" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.