Republican congressional majorities have largely aligned major legislation with White House priorities throughout 2026, reducing opportunities for formal vetoes. President Trump has instead used tools such as withholding signatures—as with the bipartisan housing bill that became law without his approval in July amid disputes over the SAVE America Act—and leverage on spending or election measures. No recent override fights or pocket vetoes have materialized despite tensions over voter ID rules, defense authorizations, and sanctions. With November midterms approaching and focus shifting to post-election sessions, the 64% trader-implied probability for no veto reflects the low likelihood of Congress sending divergent bills before December 31.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated33% chance
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
33% chance
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Republican congressional majorities have largely aligned major legislation with White House priorities throughout 2026, reducing opportunities for formal vetoes. President Trump has instead used tools such as withholding signatures—as with the bipartisan housing bill that became law without his approval in July amid disputes over the SAVE America Act—and leverage on spending or election measures. No recent override fights or pocket vetoes have materialized despite tensions over voter ID rules, defense authorizations, and sanctions. With November midterms approaching and focus shifting to post-election sessions, the 64% trader-implied probability for no veto reflects the low likelihood of Congress sending divergent bills before December 31.
This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 25, 2026, 11:49 AM ET
Volume
$5,321End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 25, 2026, 11:49 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Republican congressional majorities have largely aligned major legislation with White House priorities throughout 2026, reducing opportunities for formal vetoes. President Trump has instead used tools such as withholding signatures—as with the bipartisan housing bill that became law without his approval in July amid disputes over the SAVE America Act—and leverage on spending or election measures. No recent override fights or pocket vetoes have materialized despite tensions over voter ID rules, defense authorizations, and sanctions. With November midterms approaching and focus shifting to post-election sessions, the 64% trader-implied probability for no veto reflects the low likelihood of Congress sending divergent bills before December 31.
This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,321End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 25, 2026, 11:49 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republican congressional majorities have largely aligned major legislation with White House priorities throughout 2026, reducing opportunities for formal vetoes. President Trump has instead used tools such as withholding signatures—as with the bipartisan housing bill that became law without his approval in July amid disputes over the SAVE America Act—and leverage on spending or election measures. No recent override fights or pocket vetoes have materialized despite tensions over voter ID rules, defense authorizations, and sanctions. With November midterms approaching and focus shifting to post-election sessions, the 64% trader-implied probability for no veto reflects the low likelihood of Congress sending divergent bills before December 31.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions