Tesla's Cybercab robotaxi, unveiled in 2024 with a target price under $30,000 and volume production before 2027, entered limited pilot output in February 2026 at Gigafactory Texas. By early September, only about 45 units were authorized for public robotaxi service in Austin, with paid rides just beginning amid an NHTSA investigation into its steering-wheel-free design. Tesla has opened interest forms for fleet buyers but confirmed no consumer sales or firm MSRP, while removing Cybercab from 2026 volume production guidance. Musk reiterated pre-2027 deliveries at the price point, yet timelines emphasize slow initial ramps, regulatory approvals, and fleet-first deployment ahead of individual purchases—factors that have kept 2026 customer sales improbable in trader assessments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated15% chance
$55,241 Vol.
$55,241 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
15% chance
$55,241 Vol.
$55,241 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tesla sells at least one Cybercab vehicle to a qualifying retail customer for a base purchase price of $30,000 USD or less by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
“Cybercab” refers to the specific autonomous vehicle unveiled by Tesla in October 2024 under the Cybercab name, or a clearly designated successor product marketed by Tesla as the same vehicle model.
A qualifying retail customer must be a member of the general public purchasing the vehicle in a bona fide retail transaction under publicly available terms. Sales to employees, executives, family members, subsidiaries, internal entities, or for promotional, testing, or internal fleet purposes will not qualify.
The base purchase price refers to the vehicle’s listed retail price before taxes, registration fees, delivery fees, financing costs, or third-party incentives. Official Tesla discounts or manufacturer incentives count toward the base price.
Preorders, deposits, announced pricing targets, prototype deliveries, or internal fleet deployments will not qualify unless a completed retail sale meeting the above criteria occurs.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tesla's Cybercab robotaxi, unveiled in 2024 with a target price under $30,000 and volume production before 2027, entered limited pilot output in February 2026 at Gigafactory Texas. By early September, only about 45 units were authorized for public robotaxi service in Austin, with paid rides just beginning amid an NHTSA investigation into its steering-wheel-free design. Tesla has opened interest forms for fleet buyers but confirmed no consumer sales or firm MSRP, while removing Cybercab from 2026 volume production guidance. Musk reiterated pre-2027 deliveries at the price point, yet timelines emphasize slow initial ramps, regulatory approvals, and fleet-first deployment ahead of individual purchases—factors that have kept 2026 customer sales improbable in trader assessments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tesla sells at least one Cybercab vehicle to a qualifying retail customer for a base purchase price of $30,000 USD or less by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
“Cybercab” refers to the specific autonomous vehicle unveiled by Tesla in October 2024 under the Cybercab name, or a clearly designated successor product marketed by Tesla as the same vehicle model.
A qualifying retail customer must be a member of the general public purchasing the vehicle in a bona fide retail transaction under publicly available terms. Sales to employees, executives, family members, subsidiaries, internal entities, or for promotional, testing, or internal fleet purposes will not qualify.
The base purchase price refers to the vehicle’s listed retail price before taxes, registration fees, delivery fees, financing costs, or third-party incentives. Official Tesla discounts or manufacturer incentives count toward the base price.
Preorders, deposits, announced pricing targets, prototype deliveries, or internal fleet deployments will not qualify unless a completed retail sale meeting the above criteria occurs.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
“Cybercab” refers to the specific autonomous vehicle unveiled by Tesla in October 2024 under the Cybercab name, or a clearly designated successor product marketed by Tesla as the same vehicle model.
A qualifying retail customer must be a member of the general public purchasing the vehicle in a bona fide retail transaction under publicly available terms. Sales to employees, executives, family members, subsidiaries, internal entities, or for promotional, testing, or internal fleet purposes will not qualify.
The base purchase price refers to the vehicle’s listed retail price before taxes, registration fees, delivery fees, financing costs, or third-party incentives. Official Tesla discounts or manufacturer incentives count toward the base price.
Preorders, deposits, announced pricing targets, prototype deliveries, or internal fleet deployments will not qualify unless a completed retail sale meeting the above criteria occurs.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 17, 2026, 8:07 PM ET
Volume
$55,241End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Feb 17, 2026, 8:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tesla sells at least one Cybercab vehicle to a qualifying retail customer for a base purchase price of $30,000 USD or less by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
“Cybercab” refers to the specific autonomous vehicle unveiled by Tesla in October 2024 under the Cybercab name, or a clearly designated successor product marketed by Tesla as the same vehicle model.
A qualifying retail customer must be a member of the general public purchasing the vehicle in a bona fide retail transaction under publicly available terms. Sales to employees, executives, family members, subsidiaries, internal entities, or for promotional, testing, or internal fleet purposes will not qualify.
The base purchase price refers to the vehicle’s listed retail price before taxes, registration fees, delivery fees, financing costs, or third-party incentives. Official Tesla discounts or manufacturer incentives count toward the base price.
Preorders, deposits, announced pricing targets, prototype deliveries, or internal fleet deployments will not qualify unless a completed retail sale meeting the above criteria occurs.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tesla's Cybercab robotaxi, unveiled in 2024 with a target price under $30,000 and volume production before 2027, entered limited pilot output in February 2026 at Gigafactory Texas. By early September, only about 45 units were authorized for public robotaxi service in Austin, with paid rides just beginning amid an NHTSA investigation into its steering-wheel-free design. Tesla has opened interest forms for fleet buyers but confirmed no consumer sales or firm MSRP, while removing Cybercab from 2026 volume production guidance. Musk reiterated pre-2027 deliveries at the price point, yet timelines emphasize slow initial ramps, regulatory approvals, and fleet-first deployment ahead of individual purchases—factors that have kept 2026 customer sales improbable in trader assessments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tesla sells at least one Cybercab vehicle to a qualifying retail customer for a base purchase price of $30,000 USD or less by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
“Cybercab” refers to the specific autonomous vehicle unveiled by Tesla in October 2024 under the Cybercab name, or a clearly designated successor product marketed by Tesla as the same vehicle model.
A qualifying retail customer must be a member of the general public purchasing the vehicle in a bona fide retail transaction under publicly available terms. Sales to employees, executives, family members, subsidiaries, internal entities, or for promotional, testing, or internal fleet purposes will not qualify.
The base purchase price refers to the vehicle’s listed retail price before taxes, registration fees, delivery fees, financing costs, or third-party incentives. Official Tesla discounts or manufacturer incentives count toward the base price.
Preorders, deposits, announced pricing targets, prototype deliveries, or internal fleet deployments will not qualify unless a completed retail sale meeting the above criteria occurs.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
“Cybercab” refers to the specific autonomous vehicle unveiled by Tesla in October 2024 under the Cybercab name, or a clearly designated successor product marketed by Tesla as the same vehicle model.
A qualifying retail customer must be a member of the general public purchasing the vehicle in a bona fide retail transaction under publicly available terms. Sales to employees, executives, family members, subsidiaries, internal entities, or for promotional, testing, or internal fleet purposes will not qualify.
The base purchase price refers to the vehicle’s listed retail price before taxes, registration fees, delivery fees, financing costs, or third-party incentives. Official Tesla discounts or manufacturer incentives count toward the base price.
Preorders, deposits, announced pricing targets, prototype deliveries, or internal fleet deployments will not qualify unless a completed retail sale meeting the above criteria occurs.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$55,241End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Feb 17, 2026, 8:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tesla's Cybercab robotaxi, unveiled in 2024 with a target price under $30,000 and volume production before 2027, entered limited pilot output in February 2026 at Gigafactory Texas. By early September, only about 45 units were authorized for public robotaxi service in Austin, with paid rides just beginning amid an NHTSA investigation into its steering-wheel-free design. Tesla has opened interest forms for fleet buyers but confirmed no consumer sales or firm MSRP, while removing Cybercab from 2026 volume production guidance. Musk reiterated pre-2027 deliveries at the price point, yet timelines emphasize slow initial ramps, regulatory approvals, and fleet-first deployment ahead of individual purchases—factors that have kept 2026 customer sales improbable in trader assessments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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