Recent reports confirm that a Stripe-Advent consortium abandoned its $53 billion bid for PayPal in late August 2026 after the board deemed the $60.50-per-share offer inadequate amid valuation gaps, regulatory concerns, and financing hurdles. PayPal's Q2 earnings beat and raised guidance reinforced its standalone turnaround under CEO Enrique Lores, widening the divide and prompting the walk-away. With 2026 nearing its end and no active negotiations underway, trader consensus reflected in the 94.3% market-implied probability for "No" aligns with these developments. A renewed higher bid or emergence of another suitor remains possible but would require rapid progress before year-end to alter the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated6% chance
$90,808 Vol.
$90,808 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
6% chance
$90,808 Vol.
$90,808 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent reports confirm that a Stripe-Advent consortium abandoned its $53 billion bid for PayPal in late August 2026 after the board deemed the $60.50-per-share offer inadequate amid valuation gaps, regulatory concerns, and financing hurdles. PayPal's Q2 earnings beat and raised guidance reinforced its standalone turnaround under CEO Enrique Lores, widening the divide and prompting the walk-away. With 2026 nearing its end and no active negotiations underway, trader consensus reflected in the 94.3% market-implied probability for "No" aligns with these developments. A renewed higher bid or emergence of another suitor remains possible but would require rapid progress before year-end to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Volume
$90,808End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent reports confirm that a Stripe-Advent consortium abandoned its $53 billion bid for PayPal in late August 2026 after the board deemed the $60.50-per-share offer inadequate amid valuation gaps, regulatory concerns, and financing hurdles. PayPal's Q2 earnings beat and raised guidance reinforced its standalone turnaround under CEO Enrique Lores, widening the divide and prompting the walk-away. With 2026 nearing its end and no active negotiations underway, trader consensus reflected in the 94.3% market-implied probability for "No" aligns with these developments. A renewed higher bid or emergence of another suitor remains possible but would require rapid progress before year-end to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$90,808End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent reports confirm that a Stripe-Advent consortium abandoned its $53 billion bid for PayPal in late August 2026 after the board deemed the $60.50-per-share offer inadequate amid valuation gaps, regulatory concerns, and financing hurdles. PayPal's Q2 earnings beat and raised guidance reinforced its standalone turnaround under CEO Enrique Lores, widening the divide and prompting the walk-away. With 2026 nearing its end and no active negotiations underway, trader consensus reflected in the 94.3% market-implied probability for "No" aligns with these developments. A renewed higher bid or emergence of another suitor remains possible but would require rapid progress before year-end to alter the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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