Recent abandonment of Stripe and Advent International’s $53 billion bid for PayPal in late August 2026 underpins the 91.5% market-implied probability of no acquisition occurring in 2026. PayPal’s board viewed the $60.50-per-share offer as undervaluing the company amid regulatory and financing hurdles, while PayPal’s Q2 earnings beat and cost-cutting initiatives under new CEO Enrique Lores supported an independent recovery, lifting shares roughly 40% from spring lows before the deal collapse triggered a 12% drop. With no active negotiations and PayPal prioritizing its turnaround plan, consensus among traders reflects the low likelihood of renewed talks materializing before year-end. A material stock decline or strategic shift by PayPal could reopen discussions, though such catalysts appear distant given current momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated9% chance
$83,390 Vol.
$83,390 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
9% chance
$83,390 Vol.
$83,390 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that any part of PayPal will be, has been, or is being acquired by Stripe, or that PayPal is being merged with Stripe, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent abandonment of Stripe and Advent International’s $53 billion bid for PayPal in late August 2026 underpins the 91.5% market-implied probability of no acquisition occurring in 2026. PayPal’s board viewed the $60.50-per-share offer as undervaluing the company amid regulatory and financing hurdles, while PayPal’s Q2 earnings beat and cost-cutting initiatives under new CEO Enrique Lores supported an independent recovery, lifting shares roughly 40% from spring lows before the deal collapse triggered a 12% drop. With no active negotiations and PayPal prioritizing its turnaround plan, consensus among traders reflects the low likelihood of renewed talks materializing before year-end. A material stock decline or strategic shift by PayPal could reopen discussions, though such catalysts appear distant given current momentum.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that any part of PayPal will be, has been, or is being acquired by Stripe, or that PayPal is being merged with Stripe, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 24, 2026, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$83,390End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Feb 24, 2026, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that any part of PayPal will be, has been, or is being acquired by Stripe, or that PayPal is being merged with Stripe, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent abandonment of Stripe and Advent International’s $53 billion bid for PayPal in late August 2026 underpins the 91.5% market-implied probability of no acquisition occurring in 2026. PayPal’s board viewed the $60.50-per-share offer as undervaluing the company amid regulatory and financing hurdles, while PayPal’s Q2 earnings beat and cost-cutting initiatives under new CEO Enrique Lores supported an independent recovery, lifting shares roughly 40% from spring lows before the deal collapse triggered a 12% drop. With no active negotiations and PayPal prioritizing its turnaround plan, consensus among traders reflects the low likelihood of renewed talks materializing before year-end. A material stock decline or strategic shift by PayPal could reopen discussions, though such catalysts appear distant given current momentum.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that any part of PayPal will be, has been, or is being acquired by Stripe, or that PayPal is being merged with Stripe, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$83,390End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Feb 24, 2026, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent abandonment of Stripe and Advent International’s $53 billion bid for PayPal in late August 2026 underpins the 91.5% market-implied probability of no acquisition occurring in 2026. PayPal’s board viewed the $60.50-per-share offer as undervaluing the company amid regulatory and financing hurdles, while PayPal’s Q2 earnings beat and cost-cutting initiatives under new CEO Enrique Lores supported an independent recovery, lifting shares roughly 40% from spring lows before the deal collapse triggered a 12% drop. With no active negotiations and PayPal prioritizing its turnaround plan, consensus among traders reflects the low likelihood of renewed talks materializing before year-end. A material stock decline or strategic shift by PayPal could reopen discussions, though such catalysts appear distant given current momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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