Strong summer performance, including multiple record weekends and five films crossing $1 billion globally, has propelled 2026’s domestic total past $7 billion by early September with a clear path toward $10 billion—the first such year since 2019. Blockbusters like Spider-Man: Brand New Day, The Odyssey, Toy Story 5, and surprise hits such as Obsession and Backrooms have driven momentum, outpacing 2025 and aligning closely with pre-pandemic benchmarks in key periods. This recovery narrative supports trader consensus around a mid-tier historical ranking, as the year trails absolute peaks from the late 2010s while exceeding most post-2020 results. Fall and holiday releases, including major tentpoles, represent the key remaining catalysts that could nudge final placement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhere will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?
Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?
10th-12th 67%
6th or higher 18%
7th-9th 10%
13th-15th 5%
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
6th or higher
18%
7th-9th
10%
10th-12th
67%
13th-15th
5%
Below 15th
5%
10th-12th 67%
6th or higher 18%
7th-9th 10%
13th-15th 5%
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
6th or higher
$5,713 Vol.
18%
7th-9th
$743 Vol.
10%
10th-12th
$1,881 Vol.
67%
13th-15th
$289 Vol.
5%
Below 15th
$286 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong summer performance, including multiple record weekends and five films crossing $1 billion globally, has propelled 2026’s domestic total past $7 billion by early September with a clear path toward $10 billion—the first such year since 2019. Blockbusters like Spider-Man: Brand New Day, The Odyssey, Toy Story 5, and surprise hits such as Obsession and Backrooms have driven momentum, outpacing 2025 and aligning closely with pre-pandemic benchmarks in key periods. This recovery narrative supports trader consensus around a mid-tier historical ranking, as the year trails absolute peaks from the late 2010s while exceeding most post-2020 results. Fall and holiday releases, including major tentpoles, represent the key remaining catalysts that could nudge final placement.
This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
Volume
$8,912End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong summer performance, including multiple record weekends and five films crossing $1 billion globally, has propelled 2026’s domestic total past $7 billion by early September with a clear path toward $10 billion—the first such year since 2019. Blockbusters like Spider-Man: Brand New Day, The Odyssey, Toy Story 5, and surprise hits such as Obsession and Backrooms have driven momentum, outpacing 2025 and aligning closely with pre-pandemic benchmarks in key periods. This recovery narrative supports trader consensus around a mid-tier historical ranking, as the year trails absolute peaks from the late 2010s while exceeding most post-2020 results. Fall and holiday releases, including major tentpoles, represent the key remaining catalysts that could nudge final placement.
This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$8,912End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong summer performance, including multiple record weekends and five films crossing $1 billion globally, has propelled 2026’s domestic total past $7 billion by early September with a clear path toward $10 billion—the first such year since 2019. Blockbusters like Spider-Man: Brand New Day, The Odyssey, Toy Story 5, and surprise hits such as Obsession and Backrooms have driven momentum, outpacing 2025 and aligning closely with pre-pandemic benchmarks in key periods. This recovery narrative supports trader consensus around a mid-tier historical ranking, as the year trails absolute peaks from the late 2010s while exceeding most post-2020 results. Fall and holiday releases, including major tentpoles, represent the key remaining catalysts that could nudge final placement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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