**Recent U.S. actions under the second Trump administration have centered on renewed maximum pressure through sanctions following the collapse of a June 2026 memorandum of understanding with Iran.** After diplomatic talks and a temporary easing of some restrictions failed amid disputes over the Strait of Hormuz and other issues, the administration launched “Operation Economic Outcast” on August 24, 2026. This involved Treasury Department sectoral sanctions determinations targeting Iranian digital assets, technology, gold, aviation, and shipping sectors, plus designations of dozens of entities and vessels tied to oil smuggling, proliferation, and cyber activities, all implemented under existing executive orders such as E.O. 13902. An earlier February 2026 executive order had already expanded tariff authorities against third countries engaging with Iran. These steps reflect a return to broad economic isolation after military exchanges earlier in the year, with traders monitoring whether further standalone executive orders will expand or consolidate sanctions authorities amid ongoing enforcement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSeptember 15
31%
September 30
20%
$5,067 Vol.
September 15
31%
September 30
20%
Sanctions are official government measures that restrict economic activity, financial transactions, trade, travel, or diplomatic engagement with Iran. Qualifying sanctions include comprehensive economic embargoes restricting most trade and financial transactions; sectoral sanctions targeting specific industries (e.g., energy, finance, defense, or technology); asset freezes and blocking of property owned by Iran or Iranian citizens; trade restrictions including export controls, import bans, or tariffs imposed explicitly as sanctions; financial sanctions including restrictions on banking relationships, access to financial systems, or international lending; travel bans and visa restrictions; and arms embargoes.
Secondary sanctions against third-party countries or entities designated for dealings with Iran will qualify. The expansion in scope of previously existing sanctions against Iran will qualify; however, the renewal of existing sanctions without modification will not qualify.
The following will not qualify: the non-renewal or expiration of licenses or other sanction-exemptions; the designation of new specific entities to be sanctioned under an existing rule absent new sanctions; and enforcement settlements or civil penalties for past conduct.
The passage of an official act/executive order authorizing sanctions on Iran within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the sanctions come into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 10:16 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Sanctions are official government measures that restrict economic activity, financial transactions, trade, travel, or diplomatic engagement with Iran. Qualifying sanctions include comprehensive economic embargoes restricting most trade and financial transactions; sectoral sanctions targeting specific industries (e.g., energy, finance, defense, or technology); asset freezes and blocking of property owned by Iran or Iranian citizens; trade restrictions including export controls, import bans, or tariffs imposed explicitly as sanctions; financial sanctions including restrictions on banking relationships, access to financial systems, or international lending; travel bans and visa restrictions; and arms embargoes.
Secondary sanctions against third-party countries or entities designated for dealings with Iran will qualify. The expansion in scope of previously existing sanctions against Iran will qualify; however, the renewal of existing sanctions without modification will not qualify.
The following will not qualify: the non-renewal or expiration of licenses or other sanction-exemptions; the designation of new specific entities to be sanctioned under an existing rule absent new sanctions; and enforcement settlements or civil penalties for past conduct.
The passage of an official act/executive order authorizing sanctions on Iran within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the sanctions come into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Recent U.S. actions under the second Trump administration have centered on renewed maximum pressure through sanctions following the collapse of a June 2026 memorandum of understanding with Iran.** After diplomatic talks and a temporary easing of some restrictions failed amid disputes over the Strait of Hormuz and other issues, the administration launched “Operation Economic Outcast” on August 24, 2026. This involved Treasury Department sectoral sanctions determinations targeting Iranian digital assets, technology, gold, aviation, and shipping sectors, plus designations of dozens of entities and vessels tied to oil smuggling, proliferation, and cyber activities, all implemented under existing executive orders such as E.O. 13902. An earlier February 2026 executive order had already expanded tariff authorities against third countries engaging with Iran. These steps reflect a return to broad economic isolation after military exchanges earlier in the year, with traders monitoring whether further standalone executive orders will expand or consolidate sanctions authorities amid ongoing enforcement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions