Recent South Korea CPI readings, including the August 2026 rebound to 3.1% year-over-year driven by core items at 3.4% and base effects, have elevated trader focus on whether demand pressures from 3.3% GDP growth and elevated oil prices will sustain full-year inflation near or above 3.0%. The Bank of Korea’s unchanged 2.7% 2026 forecast alongside two 25-basis-point rate hikes to 3.0% underscores policy vigilance, while analyst estimates cluster in the high-2% range amid fading supply shocks but building consumption and wage effects. With probabilities split between the 3.0%+ bucket at 31.1% and the 2.4-2.6% range at 23.9%, markets reflect uncertainty over how quickly core trends moderate ahead of the September CPI release and October monetary policy decision.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated3.0%+ 31.1%
2.4% to 2.6% 23.9%
2.1% to 2.3% 17.0%
2.7% to 2.9% 15.4%
$38,793 Vol.
$38,793 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
<1.5%
5%
1.5% to 1.7%
2%
1.8% to 2.0%
8%
2.1% to 2.3%
17%
2.4% to 2.6%
24%
2.7% to 2.9%
15%
3.0%+
31%
3.0%+ 31.1%
2.4% to 2.6% 23.9%
2.1% to 2.3% 17.0%
2.7% to 2.9% 15.4%
$38,793 Vol.
$38,793 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
<1.5%
$2,776 Vol.
5%
1.5% to 1.7%
$3,030 Vol.
2%
1.8% to 2.0%
$1,782 Vol.
8%
2.1% to 2.3%
$4,196 Vol.
17%
2.4% to 2.6%
$5,449 Vol.
24%
2.7% to 2.9%
$6,502 Vol.
15%
3.0%+
$15,058 Vol.
31%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Recent South Korea CPI readings, including the August 2026 rebound to 3.1% year-over-year driven by core items at 3.4% and base effects, have elevated trader focus on whether demand pressures from 3.3% GDP growth and elevated oil prices will sustain full-year inflation near or above 3.0%. The Bank of Korea’s unchanged 2.7% 2026 forecast alongside two 25-basis-point rate hikes to 3.0% underscores policy vigilance, while analyst estimates cluster in the high-2% range amid fading supply shocks but building consumption and wage effects. With probabilities split between the 3.0%+ bucket at 31.1% and the 2.4-2.6% range at 23.9%, markets reflect uncertainty over how quickly core trends moderate ahead of the September CPI release and October monetary policy decision.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Market Opened: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Volume
$38,793End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Recent South Korea CPI readings, including the August 2026 rebound to 3.1% year-over-year driven by core items at 3.4% and base effects, have elevated trader focus on whether demand pressures from 3.3% GDP growth and elevated oil prices will sustain full-year inflation near or above 3.0%. The Bank of Korea’s unchanged 2.7% 2026 forecast alongside two 25-basis-point rate hikes to 3.0% underscores policy vigilance, while analyst estimates cluster in the high-2% range amid fading supply shocks but building consumption and wage effects. With probabilities split between the 3.0%+ bucket at 31.1% and the 2.4-2.6% range at 23.9%, markets reflect uncertainty over how quickly core trends moderate ahead of the September CPI release and October monetary policy decision.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Volume
$38,793End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent South Korea CPI readings, including the August 2026 rebound to 3.1% year-over-year driven by core items at 3.4% and base effects, have elevated trader focus on whether demand pressures from 3.3% GDP growth and elevated oil prices will sustain full-year inflation near or above 3.0%. The Bank of Korea’s unchanged 2.7% 2026 forecast alongside two 25-basis-point rate hikes to 3.0% underscores policy vigilance, while analyst estimates cluster in the high-2% range amid fading supply shocks but building consumption and wage effects. With probabilities split between the 3.0%+ bucket at 31.1% and the 2.4-2.6% range at 23.9%, markets reflect uncertainty over how quickly core trends moderate ahead of the September CPI release and October monetary policy decision.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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