US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner met Russian President Vladimir Putin in Moscow on September 5, 2026, carrying a Trump administration proposal aimed at restarting negotiations to end the war, with a follow-up visit planned to Kyiv. Both sides agreed to a three-day pause in strikes on each other's capitals to facilitate the shuttle diplomacy, the first such US-mediated push in over six months after earlier rounds collapsed. Russia continues to insist on Ukrainian territorial concessions in the Donbas, limits on Ukrainian forces, and a permanent bar on NATO membership, positions Kyiv has repeatedly rejected in favor of security guarantees. Negotiations mediated by the Trump administration could begin by late September, following Russia's parliamentary election, though battlefield escalation and longstanding gaps between the parties continue to constrain progress.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$491,430 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
24%
October 15
32%
October 31
41%
December 31
57%
November 30
48%
$491,430 Vol.
September 30
$240,199 Vol.
24%
October 15
$8,133 Vol.
32%
October 31
$2,411 Vol.
41%
December 31
$220,570 Vol.
57%
November 30
$1,405 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner met Russian President Vladimir Putin in Moscow on September 5, 2026, carrying a Trump administration proposal aimed at restarting negotiations to end the war, with a follow-up visit planned to Kyiv. Both sides agreed to a three-day pause in strikes on each other's capitals to facilitate the shuttle diplomacy, the first such US-mediated push in over six months after earlier rounds collapsed. Russia continues to insist on Ukrainian territorial concessions in the Donbas, limits on Ukrainian forces, and a permanent bar on NATO membership, positions Kyiv has repeatedly rejected in favor of security guarantees. Negotiations mediated by the Trump administration could begin by late September, following Russia's parliamentary election, though battlefield escalation and longstanding gaps between the parties continue to constrain progress.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ET
Volume
$491,430End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner met Russian President Vladimir Putin in Moscow on September 5, 2026, carrying a Trump administration proposal aimed at restarting negotiations to end the war, with a follow-up visit planned to Kyiv. Both sides agreed to a three-day pause in strikes on each other's capitals to facilitate the shuttle diplomacy, the first such US-mediated push in over six months after earlier rounds collapsed. Russia continues to insist on Ukrainian territorial concessions in the Donbas, limits on Ukrainian forces, and a permanent bar on NATO membership, positions Kyiv has repeatedly rejected in favor of security guarantees. Negotiations mediated by the Trump administration could begin by late September, following Russia's parliamentary election, though battlefield escalation and longstanding gaps between the parties continue to constrain progress.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$491,430End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner met Russian President Vladimir Putin in Moscow on September 5, 2026, carrying a Trump administration proposal aimed at restarting negotiations to end the war, with a follow-up visit planned to Kyiv. Both sides agreed to a three-day pause in strikes on each other's capitals to facilitate the shuttle diplomacy, the first such US-mediated push in over six months after earlier rounds collapsed. Russia continues to insist on Ukrainian territorial concessions in the Donbas, limits on Ukrainian forces, and a permanent bar on NATO membership, positions Kyiv has repeatedly rejected in favor of security guarantees. Negotiations mediated by the Trump administration could begin by late September, following Russia's parliamentary election, though battlefield escalation and longstanding gaps between the parties continue to constrain progress.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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