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icon for Osnabrück Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·Germany

Osnabrück Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Osnabrück Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·Germany

Osnabrück Mayoral Election Winner

Katharina Pötter 83%

Robert Alferink 13%

Volker Bajus 1.9%

Thorsten Wassermann <1%

Polymarket

$66,484 Vol.

Katharina Pötter 83%

Robert Alferink 13%

Volker Bajus 1.9%

Thorsten Wassermann <1%

Polymarket

$66,484 Vol.

icon for Katharina Pötter

Katharina Pötter

$49,998 Vol.

83%

icon for Robert Alferink

Robert Alferink

$13,755 Vol.

13%

icon for Volker Bajus

Volker Bajus

$1,319 Vol.

2%

icon for Thorsten Wassermann

Thorsten Wassermann

$587 Vol.

1%

icon for Thomas Groß

Thomas Groß

$284 Vol.

1%

icon for Oliver Hasskamp

Oliver Hasskamp

$541 Vol.

1%

The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.**Katharina Pötter, the incumbent CDU Oberbürgermeisterin since 2021, holds a commanding position in the September 13, 2026, direct election for Osnabrück mayor due to strong name recognition, a unanimous party nomination, and a record on projects such as urban development at the Neumarkt, housing initiatives, economic innovation, and crisis management.** The fragmented field of challengers—including SPD candidate Robert Alferink, Green nominee Volker Bajus, FDP’s Oliver Hasskamp, Die Linke’s Thomas Groß, and AfD’s Thorsten Wassermann—has prevented any single opponent from consolidating broad support, keeping their implied probabilities low. Recent candidate confirmations and campaign messaging have reinforced Pötter’s structural edge without notable shifts or late-breaking developments in the final week. Traders price in a high likelihood of her securing the outright majority or advancing decisively, consistent with typical incumbency patterns in German municipal races, while leaving limited room for a runoff scenario on September 27 if no candidate clears 50 percent in the first round.

The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Volume
$66,484
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 7:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.**Katharina Pötter, the incumbent CDU Oberbürgermeisterin since 2021, holds a commanding position in the September 13, 2026, direct election for Osnabrück mayor due to strong name recognition, a unanimous party nomination, and a record on projects such as urban development at the Neumarkt, housing initiatives, economic innovation, and crisis management.** The fragmented field of challengers—including SPD candidate Robert Alferink, Green nominee Volker Bajus, FDP’s Oliver Hasskamp, Die Linke’s Thomas Groß, and AfD’s Thorsten Wassermann—has prevented any single opponent from consolidating broad support, keeping their implied probabilities low. Recent candidate confirmations and campaign messaging have reinforced Pötter’s structural edge without notable shifts or late-breaking developments in the final week. Traders price in a high likelihood of her securing the outright majority or advancing decisively, consistent with typical incumbency patterns in German municipal races, while leaving limited room for a runoff scenario on September 27 if no candidate clears 50 percent in the first round.

The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Volume
$66,484
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 7:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Osnabrück Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Katharina Pötter" at 83%, followed by "Robert Alferink" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 83¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Osnabrück Mayoral Election Winner" has generated $66.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Osnabrück Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Osnabrück Mayoral Election Winner" is "Katharina Pötter" at 83%, meaning the market assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Robert Alferink" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Osnabrück Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.