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icon for Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

icon for Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

The Odyssey 54%

Dune: Part Three 16%

La Bola Negra 12%

Wild Horse Nine 10%

Polymarket

$141,402 Vol.

The Odyssey 54%

Dune: Part Three 16%

La Bola Negra 12%

Wild Horse Nine 10%

Polymarket

$141,402 Vol.

The Odyssey

$97,097 Vol.

54%

Dune: Part Three

$13,325 Vol.

16%

La Bola Negra

$1,525 Vol.

12%

Wild Horse Nine

$6,138 Vol.

10%

Fjord

$3,509 Vol.

6%

Digger

$4,467 Vol.

5%

Project Hail Mary

$2,192 Vol.

2%

The Debut

$2,983 Vol.

2%

The Invite

$409 Vol.

1%

Disclosure Day

$443 Vol.

1%

Avengers: Doomsday

$548 Vol.

<1%

Tony

$2,576 Vol.

<1%

The Adventures of Cliff Booth

$416 Vol.

<1%

Behemoth!

$2,463 Vol.

<1%

Josephine

$493 Vol.

<1%

All of a Sudden

$396 Vol.

<1%

Michael

$544 Vol.

<1%

The Drama

$366 Vol.

<1%

The Social Reckoning

$391 Vol.

<1%

Fatherland

$377 Vol.

<1%

Clarissa

$361 Vol.

<1%

Saturn Return

$381 Vol.

<1%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey holds the clearest edge in the 2027 Best Picture market after its July 2026 release delivered strong box office results, critical acclaim near 96 percent on Rotten Tomatoes, and technical innovation with full IMAX 70mm capture. Christopher Nolan’s follow-up to the Oppenheimer campaign benefits from established Academy goodwill and a star-driven epic scope that has already generated guild and precursor chatter. Dune: Part Three trails as the primary challenger, riding franchise momentum and Villeneuve’s reputation ahead of its December 18 debut, while films such as La Bola Negra, Wild Horse Nine, Digger, and Project Hail Mary remain earlier in their cycles with limited visibility. Traders are pricing in the proven theatrical performer versus a crowded field of late-year releases and festival hopefuls whose trajectories could shift rapidly once reviews, guild nominations, and early awards season results arrive.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$141,402
End Date
Mar 14, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey holds the clearest edge in the 2027 Best Picture market after its July 2026 release delivered strong box office results, critical acclaim near 96 percent on Rotten Tomatoes, and technical innovation with full IMAX 70mm capture. Christopher Nolan’s follow-up to the Oppenheimer campaign benefits from established Academy goodwill and a star-driven epic scope that has already generated guild and precursor chatter. Dune: Part Three trails as the primary challenger, riding franchise momentum and Villeneuve’s reputation ahead of its December 18 debut, while films such as La Bola Negra, Wild Horse Nine, Digger, and Project Hail Mary remain earlier in their cycles with limited visibility. Traders are pricing in the proven theatrical performer versus a crowded field of late-year releases and festival hopefuls whose trajectories could shift rapidly once reviews, guild nominations, and early awards season results arrive.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$141,402
End Date
Mar 14, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "The Odyssey" at 54%, followed by "Dune: Part Three" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner" has generated $141.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner" is "The Odyssey" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Dune: Part Three" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.