The Mega Gengar ex Special Illustration Rare from Ascended Heroes has seen its raw market price settle near $950 after a steady post-peak correction, with recent 30-day declines exceeding 12% amid broader softening across the set's chase cards. Increased supply entering the secondary market following strong initial demand has driven consistent downward pressure, pushing the card below the $1,051 threshold with limited signs of reversal in the near term. Traders assign 92% implied probability to finishing under on September 30 largely because of this established trajectory and typical seasonal dynamics in modern TCG pricing. A late surge in collector interest or grading buzz could still lift values, though historical patterns for similar hype cards suggest such rebounds are uncommon this close to the resolution date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMega Gengar ex Price Over/Under $1,051.08 on September 30?
Mega Gengar ex Price Over/Under $1,051.08 on September 30?
Over
7% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 30, 2026
Over
7% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $1,051.08.
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,051.08.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,051.08.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).The Mega Gengar ex Special Illustration Rare from Ascended Heroes has seen its raw market price settle near $950 after a steady post-peak correction, with recent 30-day declines exceeding 12% amid broader softening across the set's chase cards. Increased supply entering the secondary market following strong initial demand has driven consistent downward pressure, pushing the card below the $1,051 threshold with limited signs of reversal in the near term. Traders assign 92% implied probability to finishing under on September 30 largely because of this established trajectory and typical seasonal dynamics in modern TCG pricing. A late surge in collector interest or grading buzz could still lift values, though historical patterns for similar hype cards suggest such rebounds are uncommon this close to the resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $1,051.08.
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,051.08.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,051.08.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,051.08.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,051.08.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
Volume
$2,615End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolution Source
https://app.getcollectr.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $1,051.08.
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,051.08.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,051.08.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).The Mega Gengar ex Special Illustration Rare from Ascended Heroes has seen its raw market price settle near $950 after a steady post-peak correction, with recent 30-day declines exceeding 12% amid broader softening across the set's chase cards. Increased supply entering the secondary market following strong initial demand has driven consistent downward pressure, pushing the card below the $1,051 threshold with limited signs of reversal in the near term. Traders assign 92% implied probability to finishing under on September 30 largely because of this established trajectory and typical seasonal dynamics in modern TCG pricing. A late surge in collector interest or grading buzz could still lift values, though historical patterns for similar hype cards suggest such rebounds are uncommon this close to the resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $1,051.08.
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,051.08.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,051.08.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,051.08.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,051.08.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Volume
$2,615End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolution Source
https://app.getcollectr.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Mega Gengar ex Special Illustration Rare from Ascended Heroes has seen its raw market price settle near $950 after a steady post-peak correction, with recent 30-day declines exceeding 12% amid broader softening across the set's chase cards. Increased supply entering the secondary market following strong initial demand has driven consistent downward pressure, pushing the card below the $1,051 threshold with limited signs of reversal in the near term. Traders assign 92% implied probability to finishing under on September 30 largely because of this established trajectory and typical seasonal dynamics in modern TCG pricing. A late surge in collector interest or grading buzz could still lift values, though historical patterns for similar hype cards suggest such rebounds are uncommon this close to the resolution date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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