The Supreme Court’s June 29, 2026, 5-4 ruling in Trump v. Cook remains the dominant factor anchoring trader sentiment on Lisa Cook’s tenure, affirming that Federal Reserve governors enjoy statutory “for cause” protections and due-process requirements that distinguish the central bank from other agencies. The decision blocked President Trump’s August 2025 removal attempt—based on pre-appointment mortgage-fraud allegations—and returned the factual record to lower courts, preserving Cook’s seat pending further litigation. Renewed administration pressure in August 2026, including a formal notice and response deadline, has not altered her incumbent status as of early September, with markets pricing very low probabilities of an official exit by year-end. Key upcoming catalysts include lower-court rulings on the underlying allegations and any new procedural steps that could test the “for cause” threshold without triggering another high-court intervention.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$14,414 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
1%
October 31
2%
November 30
7%
December 31
6%
$14,414 Vol.
September 30
$6,660 Vol.
1%
October 31
$5,143 Vol.
2%
November 30
$1,041 Vol.
7%
December 31
$1,570 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The Supreme Court’s June 29, 2026, 5-4 ruling in Trump v. Cook remains the dominant factor anchoring trader sentiment on Lisa Cook’s tenure, affirming that Federal Reserve governors enjoy statutory “for cause” protections and due-process requirements that distinguish the central bank from other agencies. The decision blocked President Trump’s August 2025 removal attempt—based on pre-appointment mortgage-fraud allegations—and returned the factual record to lower courts, preserving Cook’s seat pending further litigation. Renewed administration pressure in August 2026, including a formal notice and response deadline, has not altered her incumbent status as of early September, with markets pricing very low probabilities of an official exit by year-end. Key upcoming catalysts include lower-court rulings on the underlying allegations and any new procedural steps that could test the “for cause” threshold without triggering another high-court intervention.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Volume
$14,414End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The Supreme Court’s June 29, 2026, 5-4 ruling in Trump v. Cook remains the dominant factor anchoring trader sentiment on Lisa Cook’s tenure, affirming that Federal Reserve governors enjoy statutory “for cause” protections and due-process requirements that distinguish the central bank from other agencies. The decision blocked President Trump’s August 2025 removal attempt—based on pre-appointment mortgage-fraud allegations—and returned the factual record to lower courts, preserving Cook’s seat pending further litigation. Renewed administration pressure in August 2026, including a formal notice and response deadline, has not altered her incumbent status as of early September, with markets pricing very low probabilities of an official exit by year-end. Key upcoming catalysts include lower-court rulings on the underlying allegations and any new procedural steps that could test the “for cause” threshold without triggering another high-court intervention.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$14,414End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Supreme Court’s June 29, 2026, 5-4 ruling in Trump v. Cook remains the dominant factor anchoring trader sentiment on Lisa Cook’s tenure, affirming that Federal Reserve governors enjoy statutory “for cause” protections and due-process requirements that distinguish the central bank from other agencies. The decision blocked President Trump’s August 2025 removal attempt—based on pre-appointment mortgage-fraud allegations—and returned the factual record to lower courts, preserving Cook’s seat pending further litigation. Renewed administration pressure in August 2026, including a formal notice and response deadline, has not altered her incumbent status as of early September, with markets pricing very low probabilities of an official exit by year-end. Key upcoming catalysts include lower-court rulings on the underlying allegations and any new procedural steps that could test the “for cause” threshold without triggering another high-court intervention.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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