Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target—headline PCE near 3.7% and core measures around 3.3% amid energy shocks and tariff effects—continues to fuel hawkish sentiment, as evidenced by the recent 9-3 July vote holding the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% with three dissents favoring hikes. Stable labor conditions, with unemployment near 4.1% and modest payroll gains, have widened dispersion among participants rather than unifying them around a clear policy direction. The tightly clustered Polymarket odds for two, three, or four-plus dissents at the December 2026 meeting reflect this uncertainty, driven by the balance between inflation risks and any softening in growth or employment data through November. Voting rotation among regional presidents and the September dot plot will further shape trader assessments of consensus strength.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHow many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
2 24.3%
3 24%
4+ 22%
1 16.7%
NEW
NEW
Dec 9, 2026
0
17%
1
17%
2
24%
3
24%
4+
22%
2 24.3%
3 24%
4+ 22%
1 16.7%
NEW
NEW
Dec 9, 2026
0
$6,200 Vol.
17%
1
$409 Vol.
17%
2
$210 Vol.
24%
3
$250 Vol.
24%
4+
$243 Vol.
22%
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target—headline PCE near 3.7% and core measures around 3.3% amid energy shocks and tariff effects—continues to fuel hawkish sentiment, as evidenced by the recent 9-3 July vote holding the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% with three dissents favoring hikes. Stable labor conditions, with unemployment near 4.1% and modest payroll gains, have widened dispersion among participants rather than unifying them around a clear policy direction. The tightly clustered Polymarket odds for two, three, or four-plus dissents at the December 2026 meeting reflect this uncertainty, driven by the balance between inflation risks and any softening in growth or employment data through November. Voting rotation among regional presidents and the September dot plot will further shape trader assessments of consensus strength.
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ET
Volume
$7,312End Date
Dec 9, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target—headline PCE near 3.7% and core measures around 3.3% amid energy shocks and tariff effects—continues to fuel hawkish sentiment, as evidenced by the recent 9-3 July vote holding the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% with three dissents favoring hikes. Stable labor conditions, with unemployment near 4.1% and modest payroll gains, have widened dispersion among participants rather than unifying them around a clear policy direction. The tightly clustered Polymarket odds for two, three, or four-plus dissents at the December 2026 meeting reflect this uncertainty, driven by the balance between inflation risks and any softening in growth or employment data through November. Voting rotation among regional presidents and the September dot plot will further shape trader assessments of consensus strength.
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$7,312End Date
Dec 9, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target—headline PCE near 3.7% and core measures around 3.3% amid energy shocks and tariff effects—continues to fuel hawkish sentiment, as evidenced by the recent 9-3 July vote holding the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% with three dissents favoring hikes. Stable labor conditions, with unemployment near 4.1% and modest payroll gains, have widened dispersion among participants rather than unifying them around a clear policy direction. The tightly clustered Polymarket odds for two, three, or four-plus dissents at the December 2026 meeting reflect this uncertainty, driven by the balance between inflation risks and any softening in growth or employment data through November. Voting rotation among regional presidents and the September dot plot will further shape trader assessments of consensus strength.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions