President Donald Trump has repeatedly criticized Jerome Powell over interest rate policy and a Justice Department probe into Federal Reserve headquarters renovations, threatening in April 2026 to remove him from the Board of Governors if he remained after his chair term ended May 15. Powell stayed on the board until 2028, citing the investigation and institutional pressures, becoming the first chair since 1948 to do so and blocking an immediate vacancy for Trump appointees. Kevin Warsh was confirmed as the new chair shortly after, and Trump later signaled acceptance of the arrangement while shifting focus elsewhere. Legal requirements for removal “for cause,” Senate dynamics, and ongoing litigation over related Fed governor dismissals have further constrained action. Trader consensus on near-term attempts remains low, reflecting the completed leadership transition and absence of fresh public directives or unequivocal announcements since spring.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
$31,039 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
3%
December 31
10%
$31,039 Vol.
September 30
$609 Vol.
3%
December 31
$8,718 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Donald Trump has repeatedly criticized Jerome Powell over interest rate policy and a Justice Department probe into Federal Reserve headquarters renovations, threatening in April 2026 to remove him from the Board of Governors if he remained after his chair term ended May 15. Powell stayed on the board until 2028, citing the investigation and institutional pressures, becoming the first chair since 1948 to do so and blocking an immediate vacancy for Trump appointees. Kevin Warsh was confirmed as the new chair shortly after, and Trump later signaled acceptance of the arrangement while shifting focus elsewhere. Legal requirements for removal “for cause,” Senate dynamics, and ongoing litigation over related Fed governor dismissals have further constrained action. Trader consensus on near-term attempts remains low, reflecting the completed leadership transition and absence of fresh public directives or unequivocal announcements since spring.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Volume
$31,039End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Donald Trump has repeatedly criticized Jerome Powell over interest rate policy and a Justice Department probe into Federal Reserve headquarters renovations, threatening in April 2026 to remove him from the Board of Governors if he remained after his chair term ended May 15. Powell stayed on the board until 2028, citing the investigation and institutional pressures, becoming the first chair since 1948 to do so and blocking an immediate vacancy for Trump appointees. Kevin Warsh was confirmed as the new chair shortly after, and Trump later signaled acceptance of the arrangement while shifting focus elsewhere. Legal requirements for removal “for cause,” Senate dynamics, and ongoing litigation over related Fed governor dismissals have further constrained action. Trader consensus on near-term attempts remains low, reflecting the completed leadership transition and absence of fresh public directives or unequivocal announcements since spring.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$31,039End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump has repeatedly criticized Jerome Powell over interest rate policy and a Justice Department probe into Federal Reserve headquarters renovations, threatening in April 2026 to remove him from the Board of Governors if he remained after his chair term ended May 15. Powell stayed on the board until 2028, citing the investigation and institutional pressures, becoming the first chair since 1948 to do so and blocking an immediate vacancy for Trump appointees. Kevin Warsh was confirmed as the new chair shortly after, and Trump later signaled acceptance of the arrangement while shifting focus elsewhere. Legal requirements for removal “for cause,” Senate dynamics, and ongoing litigation over related Fed governor dismissals have further constrained action. Trader consensus on near-term attempts remains low, reflecting the completed leadership transition and absence of fresh public directives or unequivocal announcements since spring.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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