**Recent polling averages place Yisrael Beiteinu in the 8–10 seat range ahead of Israel’s October 27 Knesset election, reflecting a fragmented right-wing vote and stable but limited support for Avigdor Lieberman’s secular, security-focused party among Russian-speaking and right-leaning voters.** Multiple September surveys show the party at 8–10 mandates, with fluctuations tied to competition from Likud, Otzma Yehudit, Religious Zionism-Zehut mergers, and new entrants such as Ofer Winter’s list. The party’s position outside the governing coalition and Lieberman’s consistent opposition to Netanyahu have not produced major recent gains or losses. Tight market pricing between 6–7 and 8–9 seats mirrors this polling band, while the lower probability on 10–11 reflects the risk that further right-wing consolidation or turnout shifts among smaller parties could cap its share. Key upcoming catalysts include final party-list submissions and any late security or coalition-related developments that could move undecided voters in the final weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated6-7 37%
8-9 35%
10-11 28%
<6 15%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<6
15%
6-7
37%
8-9
35%
10-11
28%
12+
14%
6-7 37%
8-9 35%
10-11 28%
<6 15%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<6
$0 Vol.
15%
6-7
$0 Vol.
37%
8-9
$0 Vol.
35%
10-11
$0 Vol.
28%
12+
$50 Vol.
14%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).**Recent polling averages place Yisrael Beiteinu in the 8–10 seat range ahead of Israel’s October 27 Knesset election, reflecting a fragmented right-wing vote and stable but limited support for Avigdor Lieberman’s secular, security-focused party among Russian-speaking and right-leaning voters.**
Multiple September surveys show the party at 8–10 mandates, with fluctuations tied to competition from Likud, Otzma Yehudit, Religious Zionism-Zehut mergers, and new entrants such as Ofer Winter’s list. The party’s position outside the governing coalition and Lieberman’s consistent opposition to Netanyahu have not produced major recent gains or losses. Tight market pricing between 6–7 and 8–9 seats mirrors this polling band, while the lower probability on 10–11 reflects the risk that further right-wing consolidation or turnout shifts among smaller parties could cap its share. Key upcoming catalysts include final party-list submissions and any late security or coalition-related developments that could move undecided voters in the final weeks.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volume
$50End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).**Recent polling averages place Yisrael Beiteinu in the 8–10 seat range ahead of Israel’s October 27 Knesset election, reflecting a fragmented right-wing vote and stable but limited support for Avigdor Lieberman’s secular, security-focused party among Russian-speaking and right-leaning voters.**
Multiple September surveys show the party at 8–10 mandates, with fluctuations tied to competition from Likud, Otzma Yehudit, Religious Zionism-Zehut mergers, and new entrants such as Ofer Winter’s list. The party’s position outside the governing coalition and Lieberman’s consistent opposition to Netanyahu have not produced major recent gains or losses. Tight market pricing between 6–7 and 8–9 seats mirrors this polling band, while the lower probability on 10–11 reflects the risk that further right-wing consolidation or turnout shifts among smaller parties could cap its share. Key upcoming catalysts include final party-list submissions and any late security or coalition-related developments that could move undecided voters in the final weeks.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$50End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent polling averages place Yisrael Beiteinu in the 8–10 seat range ahead of Israel’s October 27 Knesset election, reflecting a fragmented right-wing vote and stable but limited support for Avigdor Lieberman’s secular, security-focused party among Russian-speaking and right-leaning voters.** Multiple September surveys show the party at 8–10 mandates, with fluctuations tied to competition from Likud, Otzma Yehudit, Religious Zionism-Zehut mergers, and new entrants such as Ofer Winter’s list. The party’s position outside the governing coalition and Lieberman’s consistent opposition to Netanyahu have not produced major recent gains or losses. Tight market pricing between 6–7 and 8–9 seats mirrors this polling band, while the lower probability on 10–11 reflects the risk that further right-wing consolidation or turnout shifts among smaller parties could cap its share. Key upcoming catalysts include final party-list submissions and any late security or coalition-related developments that could move undecided voters in the final weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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