Idaho’s 1st Congressional District, with a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+22 and consistent strong support for GOP candidates in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 95.2 percent. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured the Republican nomination in the May 2026 primary with 78 percent of the vote and holds double-digit leads in July polling against Democratic nominee Kaylee Peterson, who advanced with 87 percent in her primary. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan composition across the Idaho Panhandle and western Boise area. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include unusually high Democratic turnout, a major national political shift, or late-cycle developments affecting candidate visibility before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedID-01 House Election Winner
ID-01 House Election Winner
$48,189 Vol.
$48,189 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
4%
$48,189 Vol.
$48,189 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$32,546 Vol.
95%
Democratic Party
$15,643 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho’s 1st Congressional District, with a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+22 and consistent strong support for GOP candidates in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 95.2 percent. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured the Republican nomination in the May 2026 primary with 78 percent of the vote and holds double-digit leads in July polling against Democratic nominee Kaylee Peterson, who advanced with 87 percent in her primary. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan composition across the Idaho Panhandle and western Boise area. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include unusually high Democratic turnout, a major national political shift, or late-cycle developments affecting candidate visibility before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$48,189End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho’s 1st Congressional District, with a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+22 and consistent strong support for GOP candidates in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 95.2 percent. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured the Republican nomination in the May 2026 primary with 78 percent of the vote and holds double-digit leads in July polling against Democratic nominee Kaylee Peterson, who advanced with 87 percent in her primary. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan composition across the Idaho Panhandle and western Boise area. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include unusually high Democratic turnout, a major national political shift, or late-cycle developments affecting candidate visibility before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$48,189End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho’s 1st Congressional District, with a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+22 and consistent strong support for GOP candidates in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 95.2 percent. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured the Republican nomination in the May 2026 primary with 78 percent of the vote and holds double-digit leads in July polling against Democratic nominee Kaylee Peterson, who advanced with 87 percent in her primary. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan composition across the Idaho Panhandle and western Boise area. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include unusually high Democratic turnout, a major national political shift, or late-cycle developments affecting candidate visibility before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions