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icon for How many dissent at the September Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the September Fed meeting?

icon for How many dissent at the September Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the September Fed meeting?

Sep 16

Dec 9

Jan 27, 2027

Sep 16

Dec 9

Jan 27, 2027

4+ 31%

3 29%

2 16%

1 14%

Polymarket

$17,736 Vol.

4+ 31%

3 29%

2 16%

1 14%

Polymarket

$17,736 Vol.

0

$12,810 Vol.

10%

1

$515 Vol.

14%

2

$585 Vol.

16%

3

$2,988 Vol.

29%

4+

$838 Vol.

31%

The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, with July PCE at 3.7% headline and 3.3% core amid Middle East energy risks, anchors trader expectations for continued FOMC divisions at the September 15-16 meeting. The July 29 decision produced a 9-3 hold with three hawkish dissents from Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan favoring a 25-basis-point hike, establishing a high bar for consensus. Recent comments from Governor Waller highlight the data-dependent tilt, leaving room for additional dissenters if August CPI and employment figures fail to show clear disinflation. With 4+ and 3 outcomes priced near 31% and 28.5%, the market reflects uncertainty over whether new data or further hawkish rhetoric will widen the split beyond the prior three-dissent precedent.

The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$17,736
End Date
Sep 16, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, with July PCE at 3.7% headline and 3.3% core amid Middle East energy risks, anchors trader expectations for continued FOMC divisions at the September 15-16 meeting. The July 29 decision produced a 9-3 hold with three hawkish dissents from Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan favoring a 25-basis-point hike, establishing a high bar for consensus. Recent comments from Governor Waller highlight the data-dependent tilt, leaving room for additional dissenters if August CPI and employment figures fail to show clear disinflation. With 4+ and 3 outcomes priced near 31% and 28.5%, the market reflects uncertainty over whether new data or further hawkish rhetoric will widen the split beyond the prior three-dissent precedent.

The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$17,736
End Date
Sep 16, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"How many dissent at the September Fed meeting?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "4+" at 31%, followed by "3" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 31¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "How many dissent at the September Fed meeting?" has generated $17.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "How many dissent at the September Fed meeting?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "How many dissent at the September Fed meeting?" is "4+" at 31%, meaning the market assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "3" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "How many dissent at the September Fed meeting?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.