Forecast models from agencies including the National Meteorological Center of China and international ensembles like GFS show Zhengzhou under high pressure with mostly clear skies and light winds on September 6, supporting peak temperatures of 31–32 °C by early afternoon. Hourly observations confirm readings climbing above 30 °C midday with minimal cloud cover and dew points in the mid-20s, consistent with late-summer insolation and regional subsidence. These conditions align with the market’s strong 80 % implied probability for 32 °C or higher, while the low odds on cooler bins reflect the absence of incoming fronts or significant moisture that could suppress highs. Updated model runs through the morning maintain this trajectory, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum reported by local stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 6?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 6?
32°C or higher 89%
31°C 41%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
26%
32°C or higher
81%
32°C or higher 89%
31°C 41%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
22°C or below
$150 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$355 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$928 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$55 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$55 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$60 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$65 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$265 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$129 Vol.
26%
32°C or higher
$223 Vol.
81%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the National Meteorological Center of China and international ensembles like GFS show Zhengzhou under high pressure with mostly clear skies and light winds on September 6, supporting peak temperatures of 31–32 °C by early afternoon. Hourly observations confirm readings climbing above 30 °C midday with minimal cloud cover and dew points in the mid-20s, consistent with late-summer insolation and regional subsidence. These conditions align with the market’s strong 80 % implied probability for 32 °C or higher, while the low odds on cooler bins reflect the absence of incoming fronts or significant moisture that could suppress highs. Updated model runs through the morning maintain this trajectory, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum reported by local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$2,434End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the National Meteorological Center of China and international ensembles like GFS show Zhengzhou under high pressure with mostly clear skies and light winds on September 6, supporting peak temperatures of 31–32 °C by early afternoon. Hourly observations confirm readings climbing above 30 °C midday with minimal cloud cover and dew points in the mid-20s, consistent with late-summer insolation and regional subsidence. These conditions align with the market’s strong 80 % implied probability for 32 °C or higher, while the low odds on cooler bins reflect the absence of incoming fronts or significant moisture that could suppress highs. Updated model runs through the morning maintain this trajectory, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum reported by local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,434End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the National Meteorological Center of China and international ensembles like GFS show Zhengzhou under high pressure with mostly clear skies and light winds on September 6, supporting peak temperatures of 31–32 °C by early afternoon. Hourly observations confirm readings climbing above 30 °C midday with minimal cloud cover and dew points in the mid-20s, consistent with late-summer insolation and regional subsidence. These conditions align with the market’s strong 80 % implied probability for 32 °C or higher, while the low odds on cooler bins reflect the absence of incoming fronts or significant moisture that could suppress highs. Updated model runs through the morning maintain this trajectory, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum reported by local stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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