Current forecasts from European meteorological services indicate Warsaw's daytime peak on September 6 will likely reach 18–19 °C amid variable cloud cover, light showers, and moderate westerly winds of 20–30 km/h. These conditions limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation while enhancing mixing and evaporative cooling from scattered precipitation. Official model runs show afternoon temperatures hovering near 18 °C under thicker cloud decks or climbing briefly to 19 °C during clearer intervals, with minimal chance of exceeding 20 °C given the air mass and timing of any showers. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range, with 19 °C holding a slight edge as the most probable maximum under prevailing synoptic patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 6?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 6?
19°C 49%
18°C 36%
20°C 14%
21°C 3%
$16,937 Vol.
$16,937 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
36%
19°C
49%
20°C
14%
21°C
3%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 49%
18°C 36%
20°C 14%
21°C 3%
$16,937 Vol.
$16,937 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
14°C or below
$139 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$794 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$401 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,457 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$3,084 Vol.
36%
19°C
$3,533 Vol.
49%
20°C
$3,841 Vol.
14%
21°C
$1,264 Vol.
3%
22°C
$778 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$303 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$1,343 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from European meteorological services indicate Warsaw's daytime peak on September 6 will likely reach 18–19 °C amid variable cloud cover, light showers, and moderate westerly winds of 20–30 km/h. These conditions limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation while enhancing mixing and evaporative cooling from scattered precipitation. Official model runs show afternoon temperatures hovering near 18 °C under thicker cloud decks or climbing briefly to 19 °C during clearer intervals, with minimal chance of exceeding 20 °C given the air mass and timing of any showers. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range, with 19 °C holding a slight edge as the most probable maximum under prevailing synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$16,937End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from European meteorological services indicate Warsaw's daytime peak on September 6 will likely reach 18–19 °C amid variable cloud cover, light showers, and moderate westerly winds of 20–30 km/h. These conditions limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation while enhancing mixing and evaporative cooling from scattered precipitation. Official model runs show afternoon temperatures hovering near 18 °C under thicker cloud decks or climbing briefly to 19 °C during clearer intervals, with minimal chance of exceeding 20 °C given the air mass and timing of any showers. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range, with 19 °C holding a slight edge as the most probable maximum under prevailing synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,937End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from European meteorological services indicate Warsaw's daytime peak on September 6 will likely reach 18–19 °C amid variable cloud cover, light showers, and moderate westerly winds of 20–30 km/h. These conditions limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation while enhancing mixing and evaporative cooling from scattered precipitation. Official model runs show afternoon temperatures hovering near 18 °C under thicker cloud decks or climbing briefly to 19 °C during clearer intervals, with minimal chance of exceeding 20 °C given the air mass and timing of any showers. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range, with 19 °C holding a slight edge as the most probable maximum under prevailing synoptic patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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