Trader consensus on H100 rental prices at end-2026 clusters around the $2.50–$3.00 range with the highest implied probability at 24.9%, reflecting balanced uncertainty between supply growth and AI demand. Current medians sit near $3.20–$3.38 per GPU-hour on specialist providers, with spot rates as low as $0.94 and hyperscaler on-demand premiums exceeding $6–10, after sharp declines from 2024 peaks. Key drivers include accelerating Blackwell B200 deployments shifting H100 workloads to secondary inference and marketplaces, tempered by HBM memory constraints and sustained hyperscaler capex that lifted some 2026 contract rates 20–40% earlier this year. Upcoming catalysts center on Blackwell ramp volumes and any seasonal demand spikes through year-end that could widen or narrow these brackets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$2.50-$3.00 24.8%
$1.50-$2.00 16.6%
$2.00-$2.50 14.1%
$3.00-$3.50 13.4%
$46,280 Vol.
$46,280 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$1.50
15%
$1.50-$2.00
17%
$2.00-$2.50
14%
$2.50-$3.00
25%
$3.00-$3.50
13%
$3.50-$4.00
13%
$4.00+
7%
$2.50-$3.00 24.8%
$1.50-$2.00 16.6%
$2.00-$2.50 14.1%
$3.00-$3.50 13.4%
$46,280 Vol.
$46,280 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$1.50
$1,246 Vol.
15%
$1.50-$2.00
$8,101 Vol.
17%
$2.00-$2.50
$15,412 Vol.
14%
$2.50-$3.00
$12,537 Vol.
25%
$3.00-$3.50
$6,077 Vol.
13%
$3.50-$4.00
$1,504 Vol.
13%
$4.00+
$1,403 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered. Trader consensus on H100 rental prices at end-2026 clusters around the $2.50–$3.00 range with the highest implied probability at 24.9%, reflecting balanced uncertainty between supply growth and AI demand. Current medians sit near $3.20–$3.38 per GPU-hour on specialist providers, with spot rates as low as $0.94 and hyperscaler on-demand premiums exceeding $6–10, after sharp declines from 2024 peaks. Key drivers include accelerating Blackwell B200 deployments shifting H100 workloads to secondary inference and marketplaces, tempered by HBM memory constraints and sustained hyperscaler capex that lifted some 2026 contract rates 20–40% earlier this year. Upcoming catalysts center on Blackwell ramp volumes and any seasonal demand spikes through year-end that could widen or narrow these brackets.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 10:05 AM ET
Volume
$46,280End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered. Trader consensus on H100 rental prices at end-2026 clusters around the $2.50–$3.00 range with the highest implied probability at 24.9%, reflecting balanced uncertainty between supply growth and AI demand. Current medians sit near $3.20–$3.38 per GPU-hour on specialist providers, with spot rates as low as $0.94 and hyperscaler on-demand premiums exceeding $6–10, after sharp declines from 2024 peaks. Key drivers include accelerating Blackwell B200 deployments shifting H100 workloads to secondary inference and marketplaces, tempered by HBM memory constraints and sustained hyperscaler capex that lifted some 2026 contract rates 20–40% earlier this year. Upcoming catalysts center on Blackwell ramp volumes and any seasonal demand spikes through year-end that could widen or narrow these brackets.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$46,280End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on H100 rental prices at end-2026 clusters around the $2.50–$3.00 range with the highest implied probability at 24.9%, reflecting balanced uncertainty between supply growth and AI demand. Current medians sit near $3.20–$3.38 per GPU-hour on specialist providers, with spot rates as low as $0.94 and hyperscaler on-demand premiums exceeding $6–10, after sharp declines from 2024 peaks. Key drivers include accelerating Blackwell B200 deployments shifting H100 workloads to secondary inference and marketplaces, tempered by HBM memory constraints and sustained hyperscaler capex that lifted some 2026 contract rates 20–40% earlier this year. Upcoming catalysts center on Blackwell ramp volumes and any seasonal demand spikes through year-end that could widen or narrow these brackets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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