**Current trading levels for the Charizard ex Special Illustration Rare (199/165) from Scarlet & Violet—151 sit near $365, already below the $376.42 strike, anchoring the 71.5% market-implied probability on Under.** Recent sales data and live listings show stability in the mid-$360s with modest 30-day volume, reflecting balanced collector demand rather than aggressive bidding. Broader Pokémon TCG momentum from the 30th anniversary cycle earlier in 2026 has cooled for this chase card, with no fresh set releases, major tournament spotlight, or viral social-media surges expected before September 30 to drive a rapid crossover. Traders appear to view the narrow window and current supply as sufficient barriers to an upside break, though any late-month grading rush or secondary-market spike could still test the line.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCharizard ex Price Over/Under $376.42 on September 30?
Over
Over
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Charizard ex (SV: 151, Special Illustration Rare 199/165) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $376.42.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Charizard ex (SV: 151, Special Illustration Rare 199/165) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $376.42.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://app.getcollectr.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Charizard ex (SV: 151, Special Illustration Rare 199/165) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $376.42.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Charizard ex (SV: 151, Special Illustration Rare 199/165) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $376.42.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Resolution Source
https://app.getcollectr.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Current trading levels for the Charizard ex Special Illustration Rare (199/165) from Scarlet & Violet—151 sit near $365, already below the $376.42 strike, anchoring the 71.5% market-implied probability on Under.** Recent sales data and live listings show stability in the mid-$360s with modest 30-day volume, reflecting balanced collector demand rather than aggressive bidding. Broader Pokémon TCG momentum from the 30th anniversary cycle earlier in 2026 has cooled for this chase card, with no fresh set releases, major tournament spotlight, or viral social-media surges expected before September 30 to drive a rapid crossover. Traders appear to view the narrow window and current supply as sufficient barriers to an upside break, though any late-month grading rush or secondary-market spike could still test the line.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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