Recent polls for Berlin’s September 20 state election show CDU, Linke, AfD, and Grüne clustered within a few points of one another, creating a fluid contest for second place behind the likely leader. Trader pricing reflects this narrow spread, with CDU holding the highest implied probability at 36.5 percent, followed by AfD and Linke. Late August surveys from Infratest dimap and INSA placed CDU narrowly ahead or tied, while earlier Forsa and Civey readings favored Linke. The SPD’s persistently low support and the exclusion of AfD from coalitions further compress options for second. Any final-week polling movement, turnout shifts among younger voters now eligible at 16, or last-minute campaign events could reorder the middle of the field before ballots close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCDU 37%
AfD 29%
Linke 26%
Grüne 9%
$26,944 Vol.
$26,944 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
CDU
37%
AfD
29%
Linke
26%
Grüne
9%
SPD
3%
FDP
<1%
FW
<1%
BSW
<1%
CDU 37%
AfD 29%
Linke 26%
Grüne 9%
$26,944 Vol.
$26,944 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
CDU
$3,382 Vol.
37%
AfD
$6,359 Vol.
29%
Linke
$5,964 Vol.
26%
Grüne
$5,603 Vol.
9%
SPD
$3,526 Vol.
3%
FDP
$686 Vol.
<1%
FW
$640 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$783 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)Recent polls for Berlin’s September 20 state election show CDU, Linke, AfD, and Grüne clustered within a few points of one another, creating a fluid contest for second place behind the likely leader. Trader pricing reflects this narrow spread, with CDU holding the highest implied probability at 36.5 percent, followed by AfD and Linke. Late August surveys from Infratest dimap and INSA placed CDU narrowly ahead or tied, while earlier Forsa and Civey readings favored Linke. The SPD’s persistently low support and the exclusion of AfD from coalitions further compress options for second. Any final-week polling movement, turnout shifts among younger voters now eligible at 16, or last-minute campaign events could reorder the middle of the field before ballots close.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Market Opened: Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
Volume
$26,944End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)Recent polls for Berlin’s September 20 state election show CDU, Linke, AfD, and Grüne clustered within a few points of one another, creating a fluid contest for second place behind the likely leader. Trader pricing reflects this narrow spread, with CDU holding the highest implied probability at 36.5 percent, followed by AfD and Linke. Late August surveys from Infratest dimap and INSA placed CDU narrowly ahead or tied, while earlier Forsa and Civey readings favored Linke. The SPD’s persistently low support and the exclusion of AfD from coalitions further compress options for second. Any final-week polling movement, turnout shifts among younger voters now eligible at 16, or last-minute campaign events could reorder the middle of the field before ballots close.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Volume
$26,944End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for Berlin’s September 20 state election show CDU, Linke, AfD, and Grüne clustered within a few points of one another, creating a fluid contest for second place behind the likely leader. Trader pricing reflects this narrow spread, with CDU holding the highest implied probability at 36.5 percent, followed by AfD and Linke. Late August surveys from Infratest dimap and INSA placed CDU narrowly ahead or tied, while earlier Forsa and Civey readings favored Linke. The SPD’s persistently low support and the exclusion of AfD from coalitions further compress options for second. Any final-week polling movement, turnout shifts among younger voters now eligible at 16, or last-minute campaign events could reorder the middle of the field before ballots close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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