Prime Minister predictions & odds

Geopolitics·Israel

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

$36M Vol.

$214K today

$3M Liq.

681

Ends in 4 months

50%

Gadi Eizenkot

$36M Vol.

$214K today

$3M Liq.

681

Ends in 4 months

Elections·Australia

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

$17.3K Vol.

$49.0K Liq.

Ends in about 2 years

40%

Anthony Albanese

$17.3K Vol.

$49.0K Liq.

Ends in about 2 years

World·Sweden

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

$5M Vol.

$94.3K today

$1M Liq.

Ends in 7 days

80%

Magdalena Andersson

$5M Vol.

$94.3K today

$1M Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Elections·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

$3M Vol.

$785K Liq.

450

Ends in 4 months

40%

Alexandru Nazare

$3M Vol.

$785K Liq.

450

Ends in 4 months

Politics·UK

How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?

$122K Vol.

$86.8K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

86%

$122K Vol.

$86.8K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Elections·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

$286M Vol.

$143K Liq.

98%

Abiy Ahmed

$286M Vol.

$143K Liq.

Elections·Global Elections

Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?

$219K Vol.

$89.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

67%

Independent/Technocrat

$219K Vol.

$89.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Economy·New Zealand

Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?

$27.0K Vol.

$67.2K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

51%

Chris Hipkins

$27.0K Vol.

$67.2K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Elections·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Greece?

$24.8K Vol.

$117K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

79%

Kyriakos Mitsotakis

$24.8K Vol.

$117K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Elections·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

$37.4K Vol.

$45.5K Liq.

Ends in almost 2 years

65%

Aleksandar Vučić

$37.4K Vol.

$45.5K Liq.

Ends in almost 2 years

Elections·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands

$52.0K Vol.

$22.8K Liq.

96%

Mark Brown

$52.0K Vol.

$22.8K Liq.

Elections·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

$122K Vol.

$262K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

80%

Alberto Núñez Feijóo

$122K Vol.

$262K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Politics·UK

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

$86.7K Vol.

$191K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

13%

John Healey

$86.7K Vol.

$191K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Politics·PM

Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?

$33.6K Vol.

$16.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

10%

$33.6K Vol.

$16.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Pmqs

What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

$2.1K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

92%

Speaker 10+ times

$2.1K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Elections·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

$80.2K Vol.

$112K Liq.

Ends in over 2 years

51%

Giorgia Meloni

$80.2K Vol.

$112K Liq.

Ends in over 2 years

Geopolitics·Asia

Anwar Ibrahim out as Prime Minister of Malaysia by...?

$11.7K Vol.

$22.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

13%

December 31, 2026

$11.7K Vol.

$22.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

World·Italy

Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by...?

$168K Vol.

$30.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

December 31

$168K Vol.

$30.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Middle East

Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?

$168K Vol.

$11.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

91%

$168K Vol.

$11.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Australia

Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by...?

$16.0K Vol.

$9.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

11%

December 31

$16.0K Vol.

$9.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

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Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Prime Minister.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Prime Minister that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $330.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 98% chance to Abiy Ahmed. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Prime Minister predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Prime Minister shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Prime Minister prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Prime Minister prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Prime Minister predictions & odds

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Prime Minister prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Prime Minister markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Prime Minister prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Prime Minister predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Prime Minister odds?

Can I track Prime Minister predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Prime Minister markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Prime Minister predictions & odds