PM predictions & odds

Geopolitics

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

$572K Vol.

$15.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

20%

December 31, 2026

$572K Vol.

$15.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Sports·Games

Portland Timbers vs. Minnesota United FC - Halftime Result

$13 Vol.

$42.4K Liq.

Ends in about 4 hours

33%

Yes

$13 Vol.

$42.4K Liq.

Ends in about 4 hours

Geopolitics·Prime Minister

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

$140K Vol.

$14.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

11%

$140K Vol.

$14.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·United Kingdom

Andy Burnham out as UK PM by...?

$6.6K Vol.

$14.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

December 31

$6.6K Vol.

$14.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Sports·Games

CF Estrela da Amadora vs. SC Braga - Halftime Result

$0 Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

19%

Yes

$0 Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

World·France

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

$348K Vol.

$13.3K Liq.

112

Ends in 4 months

28%

December 31, 2026

$348K Vol.

$13.3K Liq.

112

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Spain

No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by...?

$19.2K Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

25%

December 31

$19.2K Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Esports·Dota 2

Dota 2: Klim Sani4 vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B

$197 Vol.

$10.5K Liq.

Ends in about 17 hours

56%

Klim Sani4

$197 Vol.

$10.5K Liq.

Ends in about 17 hours

Politics·Marine Le Pen

Le Pen names non-Bardella PM by...?

$2.6K Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

22%

April 17, 2027

$2.6K Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Politics·Lid

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (September 7 - September 12)

$3.8K Vol.

$17.6K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

82%

September 8

$3.8K Vol.

$17.6K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Culture·Movies

"Primetime" Rotten Tomatoes Score?

$5.7K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in 23 days

94%

70+

$5.7K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in 23 days

Politics·Lid

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (August 31 - September 5)

$7.2K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

Ends in about 2 hours

100%

September 5

$7.2K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

Ends in about 2 hours

Geopolitics·Eu

Next Romania PM appointed by…?

$25.3K Vol.

$19.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

93%

December 31

$25.3K Vol.

$19.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Sports·Games

Portland Timbers vs. Minnesota United FC - Player Props

$0 Vol.

$7.6K Liq.

Ends in about 4 hours

50%

Yes

$0 Vol.

$7.6K Liq.

Ends in about 4 hours

World·Romania

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

$845K Vol.

$19.1K Liq.

336

Ends in 4 months

96%

December 31

$845K Vol.

$19.1K Liq.

336

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Israel

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

$1.2K Vol.

$219 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

35%

$1.2K Vol.

$219 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Sports·Games

Portland Timbers vs. Minnesota United FC - Second Half Result

$0 Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in about 4 hours

36%

Yes

$0 Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in about 4 hours

Esports·Fortnite

Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by...?

$410K Vol.

$75.0K today

$25.7K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

84%

September 14 (11:59 PM)

$410K Vol.

$75.0K today

$25.7K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Politics·PM

Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?

$33.6K Vol.

$20.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

10%

$33.6K Vol.

$20.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Sports·CFB

Merrimack vs. Maine

$0 Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

52%

Maine

$0 Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

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Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like PM.

Polymarket currently hosts 10243 active markets for PM that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 95% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on PM predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for PM shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the PM prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

PM Predictions & Real-Time Odds | Polymarket

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the PM prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

PM predictions & odds

Geopolitics

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

$572K Vol.

$15.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

20%

December 31, 2026

$572K Vol.

$15.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Sports·Games

Portland Timbers vs. Minnesota United FC - Halftime Result

$13 Vol.

$42.4K Liq.

Ends in about 4 hours

33%

Yes

$13 Vol.

$42.4K Liq.

Ends in about 4 hours

Geopolitics·Prime Minister

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

$140K Vol.

$14.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

11%

$140K Vol.

$14.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·United Kingdom

Andy Burnham out as UK PM by...?

$6.6K Vol.

$14.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

December 31

$6.6K Vol.

$14.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Sports·Games

CF Estrela da Amadora vs. SC Braga - Halftime Result

$0 Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

19%

Yes

$0 Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

World·France

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

$348K Vol.

$13.3K Liq.

112

Ends in 4 months

28%

December 31, 2026

$348K Vol.

$13.3K Liq.

112

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Spain

No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by...?

$19.2K Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

25%

December 31

$19.2K Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Esports·Dota 2

Dota 2: Klim Sani4 vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B

$197 Vol.

$10.5K Liq.

Ends in about 17 hours

56%

Klim Sani4

$197 Vol.

$10.5K Liq.

Ends in about 17 hours

Politics·Marine Le Pen

Le Pen names non-Bardella PM by...?

$2.6K Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

22%

April 17, 2027

$2.6K Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Politics·Lid

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (September 7 - September 12)

$3.8K Vol.

$17.6K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

82%

September 8

$3.8K Vol.

$17.6K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Culture·Movies

"Primetime" Rotten Tomatoes Score?

$5.7K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in 23 days

94%

70+

$5.7K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in 23 days

Politics·Lid

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (August 31 - September 5)

$7.2K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

Ends in about 2 hours

100%

September 5

$7.2K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

Ends in about 2 hours

Geopolitics·Eu

Next Romania PM appointed by…?

$25.3K Vol.

$19.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

93%

December 31

$25.3K Vol.

$19.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Sports·Games

Portland Timbers vs. Minnesota United FC - Player Props

$0 Vol.

$7.6K Liq.

Ends in about 4 hours

50%

Yes

$0 Vol.

$7.6K Liq.

Ends in about 4 hours

World·Romania

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

$845K Vol.

$19.1K Liq.

336

Ends in 4 months

96%

December 31

$845K Vol.

$19.1K Liq.

336

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Israel

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

$1.2K Vol.

$219 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

35%

$1.2K Vol.

$219 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Sports·Games

Portland Timbers vs. Minnesota United FC - Second Half Result

$0 Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in about 4 hours

36%

Yes

$0 Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in about 4 hours

Esports·Fortnite

Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by...?

$410K Vol.

$75.0K today

$25.7K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

84%

September 14 (11:59 PM)

$410K Vol.

$75.0K today

$25.7K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Politics·PM

Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?

$33.6K Vol.

$20.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

10%

$33.6K Vol.

$20.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Sports·CFB

Merrimack vs. Maine

$0 Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

52%

Maine

$0 Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

PM predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of PM prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do PM markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top PM prediction?

Why use Polymarket for PM predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s PM odds?

Can I track PM predictions without trading?

How do I get started with PM markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of PM prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do PM markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top PM prediction?

Why use Polymarket for PM predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s PM odds?

Can I track PM predictions without trading?

How do I get started with PM markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

PM predictions & odds