Peace Deal predictions & odds

Geopolitics·Foreign Policy

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

$3M Vol.

$51.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

14%

$3M Vol.

$51.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

$218K Vol.

$33.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

15%

$218K Vol.

$33.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Foreign Policy

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?

$8.8K Vol.

$21.4K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

$8.8K Vol.

$21.4K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Geopolitics·Iran

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

$26M Vol.

$363K today

$883K Liq.

548

Ends in 4 months

59%

December 31

$26M Vol.

$363K today

$883K Liq.

548

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Putin

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

$7M Vol.

$370K today

$366K Liq.

185

Ends in 10 months

56%

June 30, 2027

$7M Vol.

$370K today

$366K Liq.

185

Ends in 10 months

Geopolitics·Putin

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

$2M Vol.

$108K today

$340K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

15%

December 31

$2M Vol.

$108K today

$340K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

$17M Vol.

$458K Liq.

163

Ends in 4 months

12%

December 31

$17M Vol.

$458K Liq.

163

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Ceasefire

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

$450K Vol.

$193K today

$149K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

75%

September 30

$450K Vol.

$193K today

$149K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Geopolitics·Iran

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

$6M Vol.

$979K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

92%

No Meeting by September 30

$6M Vol.

$979K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Geopolitics·Iran

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

$11M Vol.

$316K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

57%

March 31, 2027

$11M Vol.

$316K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

$13.1K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$13.1K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

$387K Vol.

$297K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

32%

Steve Witkoff

$387K Vol.

$297K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

$1M Vol.

$66.2K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

September 30

$1M Vol.

$66.2K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Geopolitics·Iran

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?

$64.6K Vol.

$28.5K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

$64.6K Vol.

$28.5K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Geopolitics·Iran

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

$820K Vol.

$344K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

11%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$820K Vol.

$344K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Israel

Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

$1M Vol.

$30.6K Liq.

17%

December 31

$1M Vol.

$30.6K Liq.

Geopolitics·Iran

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

$2M Vol.

$95.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

13%

$2M Vol.

$95.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

$1M Vol.

$82.9K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

34%

October 31

$1M Vol.

$82.9K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

$8M Vol.

$140K Liq.

238

Ends in 4 months

December 31

$8M Vol.

$140K Liq.

238

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Embargo

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

$435K Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

11%

December 31

$435K Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

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Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Peace Deal.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Peace Deal that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $87.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “ Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 59% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Peace Deal predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Peace Deal shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Peace Deal prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Peace Deal prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Peace Deal predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Peace Deal prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Peace Deal markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Peace Deal prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Peace Deal predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Peace Deal odds?

Can I track Peace Deal predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Peace Deal markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Peace Deal predictions & odds