Apple’s MacBook Neo, launched in March 2026 as an entry-level 13-inch model with the A18 Pro chip, has driven strong trader consensus against discontinuation at 94% implied probability. The device quickly became a sales success by bringing macOS and Apple Intelligence features to budget buyers at a $599 starting price, prompting Apple to double production targets to roughly 10 million units amid high demand. Recent reporting through September 2026, including production updates and successor rumors focused on 2027, shows no signs of removal from the lineup. While global memory shortages and rising component costs previously fueled speculation about dropping the base 256GB configuration, Apple has prioritized continued availability to expand its ecosystem. Realistic risks remain limited to severe supply disruptions or an accelerated successor launch that could indirectly affect older stock.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated5% chance
NEW
NEW
Dec 30, 2026
5% chance
NEW
NEW
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MacBook Neo is no longer available for purchase from Apple by the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.Apple’s MacBook Neo, launched in March 2026 as an entry-level 13-inch model with the A18 Pro chip, has driven strong trader consensus against discontinuation at 94% implied probability. The device quickly became a sales success by bringing macOS and Apple Intelligence features to budget buyers at a $599 starting price, prompting Apple to double production targets to roughly 10 million units amid high demand. Recent reporting through September 2026, including production updates and successor rumors focused on 2027, shows no signs of removal from the lineup. While global memory shortages and rising component costs previously fueled speculation about dropping the base 256GB configuration, Apple has prioritized continued availability to expand its ecosystem. Realistic risks remain limited to severe supply disruptions or an accelerated successor launch that could indirectly affect older stock.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MacBook Neo is no longer available for purchase from Apple by the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.
Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Apr 13, 2026, 5:27 PM ET
Volume
$2,098End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MacBook Neo is no longer available for purchase from Apple by the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.Apple’s MacBook Neo, launched in March 2026 as an entry-level 13-inch model with the A18 Pro chip, has driven strong trader consensus against discontinuation at 94% implied probability. The device quickly became a sales success by bringing macOS and Apple Intelligence features to budget buyers at a $599 starting price, prompting Apple to double production targets to roughly 10 million units amid high demand. Recent reporting through September 2026, including production updates and successor rumors focused on 2027, shows no signs of removal from the lineup. While global memory shortages and rising component costs previously fueled speculation about dropping the base 256GB configuration, Apple has prioritized continued availability to expand its ecosystem. Realistic risks remain limited to severe supply disruptions or an accelerated successor launch that could indirectly affect older stock.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MacBook Neo is no longer available for purchase from Apple by the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.
Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,098End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Apple’s MacBook Neo, launched in March 2026 as an entry-level 13-inch model with the A18 Pro chip, has driven strong trader consensus against discontinuation at 94% implied probability. The device quickly became a sales success by bringing macOS and Apple Intelligence features to budget buyers at a $599 starting price, prompting Apple to double production targets to roughly 10 million units amid high demand. Recent reporting through September 2026, including production updates and successor rumors focused on 2027, shows no signs of removal from the lineup. While global memory shortages and rising component costs previously fueled speculation about dropping the base 256GB configuration, Apple has prioritized continued availability to expand its ecosystem. Realistic risks remain limited to severe supply disruptions or an accelerated successor launch that could indirectly affect older stock.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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