Apple's first foldable iPhone, widely expected as the iPhone Ultra or iPhone Fold, drives current trader sentiment through detailed supply-chain reports and Bloomberg sourcing confirming a book-style design with a roughly 5.5-inch cover display and 7.6–7.8-inch inner screen. Manufacturing has advanced to low-volume testing and production despite earlier yield concerns, positioning the device for announcement at the September 9 event alongside iPhone 18 Pro models. This would mark Apple's first major iPhone form-factor change, responding to Samsung and Google's established foldable lines while commanding a premium above $2,000. A second-generation model is already in development for 2027, underscoring Apple's commitment. The imminent event serves as the primary near-term catalyst that could solidify or shift implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$508,491 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
September 9
2%
September 10
2%
September 15
11%
September 30
50%
October 31
93%
December 31
94%
$508,491 Vol.
September 9
$2,832 Vol.
2%
September 10
$21,009 Vol.
2%
September 15
$10,275 Vol.
11%
September 30
$15,308 Vol.
50%
October 31
$3,323 Vol.
93%
December 31
$455,745 Vol.
94%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's first foldable iPhone, widely expected as the iPhone Ultra or iPhone Fold, drives current trader sentiment through detailed supply-chain reports and Bloomberg sourcing confirming a book-style design with a roughly 5.5-inch cover display and 7.6–7.8-inch inner screen. Manufacturing has advanced to low-volume testing and production despite earlier yield concerns, positioning the device for announcement at the September 9 event alongside iPhone 18 Pro models. This would mark Apple's first major iPhone form-factor change, responding to Samsung and Google's established foldable lines while commanding a premium above $2,000. A second-generation model is already in development for 2027, underscoring Apple's commitment. The imminent event serves as the primary near-term catalyst that could solidify or shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 2:48 PM ET
Volume
$508,491End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 2:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's first foldable iPhone, widely expected as the iPhone Ultra or iPhone Fold, drives current trader sentiment through detailed supply-chain reports and Bloomberg sourcing confirming a book-style design with a roughly 5.5-inch cover display and 7.6–7.8-inch inner screen. Manufacturing has advanced to low-volume testing and production despite earlier yield concerns, positioning the device for announcement at the September 9 event alongside iPhone 18 Pro models. This would mark Apple's first major iPhone form-factor change, responding to Samsung and Google's established foldable lines while commanding a premium above $2,000. A second-generation model is already in development for 2027, underscoring Apple's commitment. The imminent event serves as the primary near-term catalyst that could solidify or shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$508,491End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 2:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Apple's first foldable iPhone, widely expected as the iPhone Ultra or iPhone Fold, drives current trader sentiment through detailed supply-chain reports and Bloomberg sourcing confirming a book-style design with a roughly 5.5-inch cover display and 7.6–7.8-inch inner screen. Manufacturing has advanced to low-volume testing and production despite earlier yield concerns, positioning the device for announcement at the September 9 event alongside iPhone 18 Pro models. This would mark Apple's first major iPhone form-factor change, responding to Samsung and Google's established foldable lines while commanding a premium above $2,000. A second-generation model is already in development for 2027, underscoring Apple's commitment. The imminent event serves as the primary near-term catalyst that could solidify or shift implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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