**The Justice Department’s post-release review under the Epstein Files Transparency Act underpins the 92.5% trader consensus for “No.”** After releasing over 3.5 million pages plus videos and images by January 30, 2026—the final major tranche—Deputy Attorney General Todd Blanche stated publicly that the materials contained no credible, corroborative evidence sufficient to open new investigations or support charges against previously uncharged individuals. Internal DOJ assessments, reaffirmed after the disclosures, reached the same conclusion: unverified allegations and references to associates lacked the predicate for prosecution beyond Ghislaine Maxwell’s existing conviction. Subsequent congressional oversight hearings, additional document reviews, and isolated state or foreign actions through mid-2026 have produced no U.S. indictments tied directly to the new files, reinforcing market pricing that reflects the absence of prosecutable developments within the resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated8% chance
$137,910 Vol.
$137,910 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
8% chance
$137,910 Vol.
$137,910 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual, and the cause of that charge or indictment is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government on or after December 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying charge or indictment must be caused by information included in Epstein-related files released on or after December 19, 2025. The cause of the charge or indictment may be established through official charging documents, official information from law enforcement authorities, relevant legal entities, or the US federal government, or through a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the charge/indictment to information contained in those released files. Charges or indictments driven by information that was publicly known before December 19, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**The Justice Department’s post-release review under the Epstein Files Transparency Act underpins the 92.5% trader consensus for “No.”** After releasing over 3.5 million pages plus videos and images by January 30, 2026—the final major tranche—Deputy Attorney General Todd Blanche stated publicly that the materials contained no credible, corroborative evidence sufficient to open new investigations or support charges against previously uncharged individuals. Internal DOJ assessments, reaffirmed after the disclosures, reached the same conclusion: unverified allegations and references to associates lacked the predicate for prosecution beyond Ghislaine Maxwell’s existing conviction. Subsequent congressional oversight hearings, additional document reviews, and isolated state or foreign actions through mid-2026 have produced no U.S. indictments tied directly to the new files, reinforcing market pricing that reflects the absence of prosecutable developments within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual, and the cause of that charge or indictment is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government on or after December 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying charge or indictment must be caused by information included in Epstein-related files released on or after December 19, 2025. The cause of the charge or indictment may be established through official charging documents, official information from law enforcement authorities, relevant legal entities, or the US federal government, or through a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the charge/indictment to information contained in those released files. Charges or indictments driven by information that was publicly known before December 19, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying charge or indictment must be caused by information included in Epstein-related files released on or after December 19, 2025. The cause of the charge or indictment may be established through official charging documents, official information from law enforcement authorities, relevant legal entities, or the US federal government, or through a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the charge/indictment to information contained in those released files. Charges or indictments driven by information that was publicly known before December 19, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 2, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Volume
$137,910End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 2, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual, and the cause of that charge or indictment is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government on or after December 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying charge or indictment must be caused by information included in Epstein-related files released on or after December 19, 2025. The cause of the charge or indictment may be established through official charging documents, official information from law enforcement authorities, relevant legal entities, or the US federal government, or through a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the charge/indictment to information contained in those released files. Charges or indictments driven by information that was publicly known before December 19, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**The Justice Department’s post-release review under the Epstein Files Transparency Act underpins the 92.5% trader consensus for “No.”** After releasing over 3.5 million pages plus videos and images by January 30, 2026—the final major tranche—Deputy Attorney General Todd Blanche stated publicly that the materials contained no credible, corroborative evidence sufficient to open new investigations or support charges against previously uncharged individuals. Internal DOJ assessments, reaffirmed after the disclosures, reached the same conclusion: unverified allegations and references to associates lacked the predicate for prosecution beyond Ghislaine Maxwell’s existing conviction. Subsequent congressional oversight hearings, additional document reviews, and isolated state or foreign actions through mid-2026 have produced no U.S. indictments tied directly to the new files, reinforcing market pricing that reflects the absence of prosecutable developments within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual, and the cause of that charge or indictment is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government on or after December 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying charge or indictment must be caused by information included in Epstein-related files released on or after December 19, 2025. The cause of the charge or indictment may be established through official charging documents, official information from law enforcement authorities, relevant legal entities, or the US federal government, or through a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the charge/indictment to information contained in those released files. Charges or indictments driven by information that was publicly known before December 19, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying charge or indictment must be caused by information included in Epstein-related files released on or after December 19, 2025. The cause of the charge or indictment may be established through official charging documents, official information from law enforcement authorities, relevant legal entities, or the US federal government, or through a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the charge/indictment to information contained in those released files. Charges or indictments driven by information that was publicly known before December 19, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$137,910End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 2, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**The Justice Department’s post-release review under the Epstein Files Transparency Act underpins the 92.5% trader consensus for “No.”** After releasing over 3.5 million pages plus videos and images by January 30, 2026—the final major tranche—Deputy Attorney General Todd Blanche stated publicly that the materials contained no credible, corroborative evidence sufficient to open new investigations or support charges against previously uncharged individuals. Internal DOJ assessments, reaffirmed after the disclosures, reached the same conclusion: unverified allegations and references to associates lacked the predicate for prosecution beyond Ghislaine Maxwell’s existing conviction. Subsequent congressional oversight hearings, additional document reviews, and isolated state or foreign actions through mid-2026 have produced no U.S. indictments tied directly to the new files, reinforcing market pricing that reflects the absence of prosecutable developments within the resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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