**New York’s July 2026 executive order imposing the first statewide one-year pause on hyperscale data centers (50 MW+) has anchored trader sentiment at a 73.3% implied probability for “Yes.”** Surging AI-driven demand for power and water has triggered hundreds of local moratoriums across more than 30 states this year, with New York’s action highlighting grid strain, ratepayer costs, and permitting delays as key concerns. Additional statewide bills remain active or pending in states such as Michigan, Oregon, and Pennsylvania, while several legislatures continue studying incentive reforms and large-load tariffs. With roughly four months left before the December 31 deadline, near-term catalysts include committee votes, special sessions, or further executive measures that could add to the existing precedent. Traders view the combination of demonstrated state action and ongoing local momentum as the dominant driver, tempered by the possibility of stalled bills or narrow definitions of “enact.”
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
73% chance
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
73% chance
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any U.S. state enacts legislation that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium must temporarily or indefinitely prohibit, suspend, or pause the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within that state.
Qualifying legislation includes any state bill that establishes such a data center moratorium.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted into law in accordance with the applicable state’s constitutional and legal procedures. This generally requires final passage by the relevant state legislature and approval by the governor, becoming law without signature, or taking effect through a veto override or other lawful mechanism. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**New York’s July 2026 executive order imposing the first statewide one-year pause on hyperscale data centers (50 MW+) has anchored trader sentiment at a 73.3% implied probability for “Yes.”** Surging AI-driven demand for power and water has triggered hundreds of local moratoriums across more than 30 states this year, with New York’s action highlighting grid strain, ratepayer costs, and permitting delays as key concerns. Additional statewide bills remain active or pending in states such as Michigan, Oregon, and Pennsylvania, while several legislatures continue studying incentive reforms and large-load tariffs. With roughly four months left before the December 31 deadline, near-term catalysts include committee votes, special sessions, or further executive measures that could add to the existing precedent. Traders view the combination of demonstrated state action and ongoing local momentum as the dominant driver, tempered by the possibility of stalled bills or narrow definitions of “enact.”
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any U.S. state enacts legislation that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium must temporarily or indefinitely prohibit, suspend, or pause the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within that state.
Qualifying legislation includes any state bill that establishes such a data center moratorium.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted into law in accordance with the applicable state’s constitutional and legal procedures. This generally requires final passage by the relevant state legislature and approval by the governor, becoming law without signature, or taking effect through a veto override or other lawful mechanism. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying moratorium must temporarily or indefinitely prohibit, suspend, or pause the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within that state.
Qualifying legislation includes any state bill that establishes such a data center moratorium.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted into law in accordance with the applicable state’s constitutional and legal procedures. This generally requires final passage by the relevant state legislature and approval by the governor, becoming law without signature, or taking effect through a veto override or other lawful mechanism. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 7, 2026, 9:23 PM ET
Volume
$7,980End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 7, 2026, 9:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any U.S. state enacts legislation that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium must temporarily or indefinitely prohibit, suspend, or pause the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within that state.
Qualifying legislation includes any state bill that establishes such a data center moratorium.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted into law in accordance with the applicable state’s constitutional and legal procedures. This generally requires final passage by the relevant state legislature and approval by the governor, becoming law without signature, or taking effect through a veto override or other lawful mechanism. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**New York’s July 2026 executive order imposing the first statewide one-year pause on hyperscale data centers (50 MW+) has anchored trader sentiment at a 73.3% implied probability for “Yes.”** Surging AI-driven demand for power and water has triggered hundreds of local moratoriums across more than 30 states this year, with New York’s action highlighting grid strain, ratepayer costs, and permitting delays as key concerns. Additional statewide bills remain active or pending in states such as Michigan, Oregon, and Pennsylvania, while several legislatures continue studying incentive reforms and large-load tariffs. With roughly four months left before the December 31 deadline, near-term catalysts include committee votes, special sessions, or further executive measures that could add to the existing precedent. Traders view the combination of demonstrated state action and ongoing local momentum as the dominant driver, tempered by the possibility of stalled bills or narrow definitions of “enact.”
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any U.S. state enacts legislation that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium must temporarily or indefinitely prohibit, suspend, or pause the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within that state.
Qualifying legislation includes any state bill that establishes such a data center moratorium.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted into law in accordance with the applicable state’s constitutional and legal procedures. This generally requires final passage by the relevant state legislature and approval by the governor, becoming law without signature, or taking effect through a veto override or other lawful mechanism. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying moratorium must temporarily or indefinitely prohibit, suspend, or pause the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within that state.
Qualifying legislation includes any state bill that establishes such a data center moratorium.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted into law in accordance with the applicable state’s constitutional and legal procedures. This generally requires final passage by the relevant state legislature and approval by the governor, becoming law without signature, or taking effect through a veto override or other lawful mechanism. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,980End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 7, 2026, 9:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**New York’s July 2026 executive order imposing the first statewide one-year pause on hyperscale data centers (50 MW+) has anchored trader sentiment at a 73.3% implied probability for “Yes.”** Surging AI-driven demand for power and water has triggered hundreds of local moratoriums across more than 30 states this year, with New York’s action highlighting grid strain, ratepayer costs, and permitting delays as key concerns. Additional statewide bills remain active or pending in states such as Michigan, Oregon, and Pennsylvania, while several legislatures continue studying incentive reforms and large-load tariffs. With roughly four months left before the December 31 deadline, near-term catalysts include committee votes, special sessions, or further executive measures that could add to the existing precedent. Traders view the combination of demonstrated state action and ongoing local momentum as the dominant driver, tempered by the possibility of stalled bills or narrow definitions of “enact.”
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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