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icon for What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

icon for What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

Sep 8

Sep 8

Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1 99.3%

Outer Banks: Season 5 <1%

Beauty in Black: Season 3 <1%

Salish & Jordan Matter: Season 3 <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1 99.3%

Outer Banks: Season 5 <1%

Beauty in Black: Season 3 <1%

Salish & Jordan Matter: Season 3 <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1

$3,444 Vol.

99%

Outer Banks: Season 5

$230 Vol.

1%

Beauty in Black: Season 3

$203 Vol.

1%

Salish & Jordan Matter: Season 3

$220 Vol.

1%

Talamasca: The Secret Order: Season 1

$202 Vol.

1%

Instadocs: The Decoy Plane

$203 Vol.

1%

The Sex Lives of College Girls: Season 1

$204 Vol.

1%

Danny Go!: Season 2

$181 Vol.

<1%

Earle Meets World: Season 1

$291 Vol.

<1%

The Gentlemen: Season 2

$1,201 Vol.

<1%

Netflix is expected to update its US Top 10 shows list on top10.netflix.com on September 8, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".**Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1** dominates trader sentiment due to its strong performance as Netflix's top U.S. title in the days following its August 26, 2026 premiere. The three-part true-crime documentary, which examines Mica Miller's life, alleged coercive control in her marriage, and 2024 death, quickly captured widespread viewer interest in the genre, holding the #1 spot on recent U.S. top-10 charts with consistent engagement. Precursor buzz from its directors' prior hits and timely true-crime appeal helped build early momentum that has proven durable. An upset remains possible if a major new scripted series or high-profile returning season launches with superior marketing and immediate chart dominance, though the current data shows limited near-term competition.

Netflix is expected to update its US Top 10 shows list on top10.netflix.com on September 8, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 TV shows (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Netflix is expected to update its US Top 10 shows list on top10.netflix.com on September 8, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$6,381
End Date
Sep 8, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 7:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its US Top 10 shows list on top10.netflix.com on September 8, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".**Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1** dominates trader sentiment due to its strong performance as Netflix's top U.S. title in the days following its August 26, 2026 premiere. The three-part true-crime documentary, which examines Mica Miller's life, alleged coercive control in her marriage, and 2024 death, quickly captured widespread viewer interest in the genre, holding the #1 spot on recent U.S. top-10 charts with consistent engagement. Precursor buzz from its directors' prior hits and timely true-crime appeal helped build early momentum that has proven durable. An upset remains possible if a major new scripted series or high-profile returning season launches with superior marketing and immediate chart dominance, though the current data shows limited near-term competition.

Netflix is expected to update its US Top 10 shows list on top10.netflix.com on September 8, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 TV shows (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Netflix is expected to update its US Top 10 shows list on top10.netflix.com on September 8, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$6,381
End Date
Sep 8, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 7:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Related

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Will "Beauty in Black: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

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icon for Will "Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Will "Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?

99%
icon for Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 6 million views this week?

Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 6 million views this week?

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1" at 99%, followed by "Outer Banks: Season 5" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 2, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" is "Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Outer Banks: Season 5" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.