Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding position in trader consensus due to her swift consolidation of power after the January 2026 U.S. operation that removed Nicolás Maduro. Installed as acting president by Venezuela’s Supreme Tribunal of Justice, she has extended her mandate beyond constitutional time limits, secured military and institutional backing, and pursued pragmatic cooperation with Washington on oil production and sanctions relief. This approach has stabilized her government amid internal Chavista rivalries, notably with figures such as Diosdado Cabello. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include accelerated U.S. demands for elections, successful opposition mobilization around leaders like María Corina Machado, or shifts in regime alliances that erode her control before the end of 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDelcy Rodríguez 94%
María Corina Machado 3.6%
Marco Rubio 1.3%
Dinorah Figuera 1.0%
$388,971 Vol.
$388,971 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
94%
María Corina Machado
4%
Marco Rubio
1%
Dinorah Figuera
1%
No Head of State
1%
Edmundo González
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
Nicolás Maduro
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Delcy Rodríguez 94%
María Corina Machado 3.6%
Marco Rubio 1.3%
Dinorah Figuera 1.0%
$388,971 Vol.
$388,971 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
$103,153 Vol.
94%
María Corina Machado
$53,170 Vol.
4%
Marco Rubio
$6,383 Vol.
1%
Dinorah Figuera
$4,570 Vol.
1%
No Head of State
$67,143 Vol.
1%
Edmundo González
$4,123 Vol.
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
$8,378 Vol.
<1%
Pete Hegseth
$2,936 Vol.
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
$3,568 Vol.
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
$68,169 Vol.
<1%
Dan Caine
$3,248 Vol.
<1%
Nicolás Maduro
$4,406 Vol.
<1%
Donald Trump
$2,834 Vol.
<1%
Evan Pettus
$7,303 Vol.
<1%
Richard Grenell
$7,372 Vol.
<1%
Frank Donovan
$42,216 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding position in trader consensus due to her swift consolidation of power after the January 2026 U.S. operation that removed Nicolás Maduro. Installed as acting president by Venezuela’s Supreme Tribunal of Justice, she has extended her mandate beyond constitutional time limits, secured military and institutional backing, and pursued pragmatic cooperation with Washington on oil production and sanctions relief. This approach has stabilized her government amid internal Chavista rivalries, notably with figures such as Diosdado Cabello. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include accelerated U.S. demands for elections, successful opposition mobilization around leaders like María Corina Machado, or shifts in regime alliances that erode her control before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Market Opened: May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Volume
$388,971End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding position in trader consensus due to her swift consolidation of power after the January 2026 U.S. operation that removed Nicolás Maduro. Installed as acting president by Venezuela’s Supreme Tribunal of Justice, she has extended her mandate beyond constitutional time limits, secured military and institutional backing, and pursued pragmatic cooperation with Washington on oil production and sanctions relief. This approach has stabilized her government amid internal Chavista rivalries, notably with figures such as Diosdado Cabello. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include accelerated U.S. demands for elections, successful opposition mobilization around leaders like María Corina Machado, or shifts in regime alliances that erode her control before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Volume
$388,971End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding position in trader consensus due to her swift consolidation of power after the January 2026 U.S. operation that removed Nicolás Maduro. Installed as acting president by Venezuela’s Supreme Tribunal of Justice, she has extended her mandate beyond constitutional time limits, secured military and institutional backing, and pursued pragmatic cooperation with Washington on oil production and sanctions relief. This approach has stabilized her government amid internal Chavista rivalries, notably with figures such as Diosdado Cabello. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include accelerated U.S. demands for elections, successful opposition mobilization around leaders like María Corina Machado, or shifts in regime alliances that erode her control before the end of 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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