DeepSeek’s commanding position stems from sustained leadership in OpenRouter token volume during late August and early September 2026, driven by its V4 Flash and Pro models that deliver high throughput at fractions of the cost of U.S. alternatives. These open-weight releases excel in agentic, coding, and high-volume workloads, attracting developers globally and capturing the largest share through aggressive pricing and rapid iteration. While U.S. labs like OpenAI have seen occasional spikes from discounts, Chinese providers including DeepSeek have held the top spot for months. A sudden major capability jump or broad discount from competitors could narrow the gap before the week closes, though current usage patterns make such a reversal improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDeepSeek 98.6%
Nvidia 1.1%
Qwen <1%
Z.ai <1%

DeepSeek
99%

Nvidia
1%

Qwen
1%

Z.ai
1%

Anthropic
1%

xAI
1%

Tencent
1%

OpenAI
1%

MiniMax
<1%

Xiaomi
<1%

<1%

Meta
<1%
DeepSeek 98.6%
Nvidia 1.1%
Qwen <1%
Z.ai <1%

DeepSeek
99%

Nvidia
1%

Qwen
1%

Z.ai
1%

Anthropic
1%

xAI
1%

Tencent
1%

OpenAI
1%

MiniMax
<1%

Xiaomi
<1%

<1%

Meta
<1%
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 1st after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 8:08 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://openrouter.ai/rankingsResolver
0x69c47De9D...A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 1st after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
Resolution Source
https://openrouter.ai/rankingsResolver
0x69c47De9D...DeepSeek’s commanding position stems from sustained leadership in OpenRouter token volume during late August and early September 2026, driven by its V4 Flash and Pro models that deliver high throughput at fractions of the cost of U.S. alternatives. These open-weight releases excel in agentic, coding, and high-volume workloads, attracting developers globally and capturing the largest share through aggressive pricing and rapid iteration. While U.S. labs like OpenAI have seen occasional spikes from discounts, Chinese providers including DeepSeek have held the top spot for months. A sudden major capability jump or broad discount from competitors could narrow the gap before the week closes, though current usage patterns make such a reversal improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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