Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s dominant market positioning for a sixth-weekend gross above $15 million stems from its record-shattering domestic opening of $360 million and consistent audience retention across prior frames. Strong critical reception for Tom Holland’s performance and the film’s character-focused story, combined with broad MCU fan engagement and favorable word-of-mouth, have kept the title atop the box office through Labor Day weekend with legs that far exceed typical superhero holdover patterns. As of early September 2026, tracking shows the film still playing in thousands of theaters and projected near $17 million for the frame. An upset below $15 million would require an unusually sharp drop-off or a blockbuster new release drawing disproportionate audiences, scenarios that remain improbable given the movie’s demonstrated staying power and current competitive landscape.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6th Weekend Box Office
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6th Weekend Box Office
15m+ 99.7%
14-15m <1%
<11m <1%
11-12m <1%
$31,990 Vol.
$31,990 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
<11m
<1%
11-12m
<1%
12-13m
<1%
13-14m
<1%
14-15m
<1%
15m+
100%
15m+ 99.7%
14-15m <1%
<11m <1%
11-12m <1%
$31,990 Vol.
$31,990 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
<11m
$2,175 Vol.
<1%
11-12m
$1,802 Vol.
<1%
12-13m
$1,653 Vol.
<1%
13-14m
$4,341 Vol.
<1%
14-15m
$6,001 Vol.
<1%
15m+
$16,219 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 6th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s dominant market positioning for a sixth-weekend gross above $15 million stems from its record-shattering domestic opening of $360 million and consistent audience retention across prior frames. Strong critical reception for Tom Holland’s performance and the film’s character-focused story, combined with broad MCU fan engagement and favorable word-of-mouth, have kept the title atop the box office through Labor Day weekend with legs that far exceed typical superhero holdover patterns. As of early September 2026, tracking shows the film still playing in thousands of theaters and projected near $17 million for the frame. An upset below $15 million would require an unusually sharp drop-off or a blockbuster new release drawing disproportionate audiences, scenarios that remain improbable given the movie’s demonstrated staying power and current competitive landscape.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 6th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Sep 2, 2026, 6:56 PM ET
Volume
$31,990End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 6:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 6th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s dominant market positioning for a sixth-weekend gross above $15 million stems from its record-shattering domestic opening of $360 million and consistent audience retention across prior frames. Strong critical reception for Tom Holland’s performance and the film’s character-focused story, combined with broad MCU fan engagement and favorable word-of-mouth, have kept the title atop the box office through Labor Day weekend with legs that far exceed typical superhero holdover patterns. As of early September 2026, tracking shows the film still playing in thousands of theaters and projected near $17 million for the frame. An upset below $15 million would require an unusually sharp drop-off or a blockbuster new release drawing disproportionate audiences, scenarios that remain improbable given the movie’s demonstrated staying power and current competitive landscape.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 6th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$31,990End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 6:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s dominant market positioning for a sixth-weekend gross above $15 million stems from its record-shattering domestic opening of $360 million and consistent audience retention across prior frames. Strong critical reception for Tom Holland’s performance and the film’s character-focused story, combined with broad MCU fan engagement and favorable word-of-mouth, have kept the title atop the box office through Labor Day weekend with legs that far exceed typical superhero holdover patterns. As of early September 2026, tracking shows the film still playing in thousands of theaters and projected near $17 million for the frame. An upset below $15 million would require an unusually sharp drop-off or a blockbuster new release drawing disproportionate audiences, scenarios that remain improbable given the movie’s demonstrated staying power and current competitive landscape.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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