MrBeast’s massive 516-million-subscriber base and proven algorithmic momentum on YouTube continue to anchor day-one view totals for standard long-form releases in the mid-to-high 30 millions, driving the overwhelming trader consensus around the 35–40M bracket. Recent comparable uploads without ultra-high-stakes giveaways or celebrity crossovers have settled in that range after the first 24 hours, supported by consistent promotional cross-posts and evergreen appeal rather than one-day spikes. The current video’s extreme-location race format with Gemini integration fits this profile, lacking the breakout hooks that previously pushed select titles above 40M. An upset into 40M+ would require stronger-than-expected weekend timing or additional promotional amplification, while weaker early engagement or a less viral premise could realistically pull totals into the low 30s.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?
# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?
35–40M 96%
40M+ 4%
30–35M <1%
<15M <1%
$329,822 Vol.
$329,822 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
<15M
<1%
15–20M
<1%
20–25M
<1%
25–30M
<1%
30–35M
<1%
35–40M
96%
40M+
4%
35–40M 96%
40M+ 4%
30–35M <1%
<15M <1%
$329,822 Vol.
$329,822 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
<15M
$9,150 Vol.
<1%
15–20M
$18,015 Vol.
<1%
20–25M
$55,287 Vol.
<1%
25–30M
$67,790 Vol.
<1%
30–35M
$65,917 Vol.
<1%
35–40M
$39,152 Vol.
96%
40M+
$74,512 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.MrBeast’s massive 516-million-subscriber base and proven algorithmic momentum on YouTube continue to anchor day-one view totals for standard long-form releases in the mid-to-high 30 millions, driving the overwhelming trader consensus around the 35–40M bracket. Recent comparable uploads without ultra-high-stakes giveaways or celebrity crossovers have settled in that range after the first 24 hours, supported by consistent promotional cross-posts and evergreen appeal rather than one-day spikes. The current video’s extreme-location race format with Gemini integration fits this profile, lacking the breakout hooks that previously pushed select titles above 40M. An upset into 40M+ would require stronger-than-expected weekend timing or additional promotional amplification, while weaker early engagement or a less viral premise could realistically pull totals into the low 30s.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
Volume
$329,822End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.MrBeast’s massive 516-million-subscriber base and proven algorithmic momentum on YouTube continue to anchor day-one view totals for standard long-form releases in the mid-to-high 30 millions, driving the overwhelming trader consensus around the 35–40M bracket. Recent comparable uploads without ultra-high-stakes giveaways or celebrity crossovers have settled in that range after the first 24 hours, supported by consistent promotional cross-posts and evergreen appeal rather than one-day spikes. The current video’s extreme-location race format with Gemini integration fits this profile, lacking the breakout hooks that previously pushed select titles above 40M. An upset into 40M+ would require stronger-than-expected weekend timing or additional promotional amplification, while weaker early engagement or a less viral premise could realistically pull totals into the low 30s.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Volume
$329,822End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...MrBeast’s massive 516-million-subscriber base and proven algorithmic momentum on YouTube continue to anchor day-one view totals for standard long-form releases in the mid-to-high 30 millions, driving the overwhelming trader consensus around the 35–40M bracket. Recent comparable uploads without ultra-high-stakes giveaways or celebrity crossovers have settled in that range after the first 24 hours, supported by consistent promotional cross-posts and evergreen appeal rather than one-day spikes. The current video’s extreme-location race format with Gemini integration fits this profile, lacking the breakout hooks that previously pushed select titles above 40M. An upset into 40M+ would require stronger-than-expected weekend timing or additional promotional amplification, while weaker early engagement or a less viral premise could realistically pull totals into the low 30s.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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