MrBeast’s 516 million subscribers and reliable Saturday upload cadence continue to anchor trader consensus around the 35–40 million day-one view bracket at 94% implied probability. Recent long-form releases such as “Escape 100 Cops” and “Last To Leave Mansion” have shown front-loaded but moderating early velocity, typically landing in the low-to-mid 30 millions within 24 hours before tapering. The latest upload, an extreme-locations race featuring Gemini integration, lacks the giveaway hooks or star cameos that historically accelerated spikes, keeping the market-implied range tightly clustered. An upset above 40 million would require outsized cross-platform promotion or weekend algorithmic amplification, while sub-35 million outcomes remain possible if audience fatigue or competing content dampens initial momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?
# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?
35–40M 94%
40M+ 6%
30–35M 1.0%
<15M <1%
$314,600 Vol.
$314,600 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
<15M
<1%
15–20M
<1%
20–25M
<1%
25–30M
<1%
30–35M
1%
35–40M
94%
40M+
6%
35–40M 94%
40M+ 6%
30–35M 1.0%
<15M <1%
$314,600 Vol.
$314,600 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
<15M
$9,150 Vol.
<1%
15–20M
$18,015 Vol.
<1%
20–25M
$55,287 Vol.
<1%
25–30M
$67,790 Vol.
<1%
30–35M
$55,468 Vol.
1%
35–40M
$38,718 Vol.
94%
40M+
$70,174 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.MrBeast’s 516 million subscribers and reliable Saturday upload cadence continue to anchor trader consensus around the 35–40 million day-one view bracket at 94% implied probability. Recent long-form releases such as “Escape 100 Cops” and “Last To Leave Mansion” have shown front-loaded but moderating early velocity, typically landing in the low-to-mid 30 millions within 24 hours before tapering. The latest upload, an extreme-locations race featuring Gemini integration, lacks the giveaway hooks or star cameos that historically accelerated spikes, keeping the market-implied range tightly clustered. An upset above 40 million would require outsized cross-platform promotion or weekend algorithmic amplification, while sub-35 million outcomes remain possible if audience fatigue or competing content dampens initial momentum.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
Volume
$314,600End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.MrBeast’s 516 million subscribers and reliable Saturday upload cadence continue to anchor trader consensus around the 35–40 million day-one view bracket at 94% implied probability. Recent long-form releases such as “Escape 100 Cops” and “Last To Leave Mansion” have shown front-loaded but moderating early velocity, typically landing in the low-to-mid 30 millions within 24 hours before tapering. The latest upload, an extreme-locations race featuring Gemini integration, lacks the giveaway hooks or star cameos that historically accelerated spikes, keeping the market-implied range tightly clustered. An upset above 40 million would require outsized cross-platform promotion or weekend algorithmic amplification, while sub-35 million outcomes remain possible if audience fatigue or competing content dampens initial momentum.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Volume
$314,600End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...MrBeast’s 516 million subscribers and reliable Saturday upload cadence continue to anchor trader consensus around the 35–40 million day-one view bracket at 94% implied probability. Recent long-form releases such as “Escape 100 Cops” and “Last To Leave Mansion” have shown front-loaded but moderating early velocity, typically landing in the low-to-mid 30 millions within 24 hours before tapering. The latest upload, an extreme-locations race featuring Gemini integration, lacks the giveaway hooks or star cameos that historically accelerated spikes, keeping the market-implied range tightly clustered. An upset above 40 million would require outsized cross-platform promotion or weekend algorithmic amplification, while sub-35 million outcomes remain possible if audience fatigue or competing content dampens initial momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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