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Next James Bond actor?

icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

No Bond chosen 24.3%

Jack Lowden 17.8%

Callum Turner 17%

Jack Barton 12.7%

Polymarket

$654,113 Vol.

No Bond chosen 24.3%

Jack Lowden 17.8%

Callum Turner 17%

Jack Barton 12.7%

Polymarket

$654,113 Vol.

icon for No Bond chosen

No Bond chosen

$330,710 Vol.

24%

icon for Jack Lowden

Jack Lowden

$110,650 Vol.

18%

icon for Callum Turner

Callum Turner

$52,446 Vol.

17%

icon for Jack Barton

Jack Barton

$25,003 Vol.

13%

icon for Jack O'Connell

Jack O'Connell

$13,860 Vol.

4%

icon for Jacob Elordi

Jacob Elordi

$9,059 Vol.

4%

icon for Aaron Taylor-Johnson

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$16,820 Vol.

3%

icon for Harris Dickinson

Harris Dickinson

$8,913 Vol.

3%

icon for Paul Mescal

Paul Mescal

$5,021 Vol.

1%

icon for Pierce Brosnan

Pierce Brosnan

$5,886 Vol.

1%

icon for Tom Francis

Tom Francis

$4,017 Vol.

1%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$6,541 Vol.

1%

icon for Tom Blyth

Tom Blyth

$2,152 Vol.

<1%

icon for Theo James

Theo James

$22,571 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Norton

James Norton

$8,464 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Hardy

Tom Hardy

$5,695 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Holland

Tom Holland

$4,516 Vol.

<1%

icon for Timothee Chalamet

Timothee Chalamet

$3,271 Vol.

<1%

icon for Richard Madden

Richard Madden

$1,751 Vol.

<1%

icon for Henry Cavill

Henry Cavill

$4,988 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert James-Collier

Robert James-Collier

$3,587 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michael B Jordan

Michael B Jordan

$2,811 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nicholas Galitzine

Nicholas Galitzine

$2,593 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jonathan Bailey

Jonathan Bailey

$2,786 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ongoing James Bond casting process under director Denis Villeneuve and casting director Nina Gold, with no official selection announced, underpins the market's leading 24.3% implied probability on "No Bond chosen." Recent reports of narrowed shortlists and September screen tests for actors including Jack Lowden, Callum Turner, Jack Barton, Jacob Elordi, and Harris Dickinson have fueled trader interest in these names, reflecting their alignment with preferences for a younger British or UK-based performer capable of carrying multiple films. Producer Amy Pascal has indicated an announcement by year-end remains a strong possibility, though the methodical approach and historical secrecy around 007 decisions sustain competitive dynamics among the closely matched frontrunners.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$654,113
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ongoing James Bond casting process under director Denis Villeneuve and casting director Nina Gold, with no official selection announced, underpins the market's leading 24.3% implied probability on "No Bond chosen." Recent reports of narrowed shortlists and September screen tests for actors including Jack Lowden, Callum Turner, Jack Barton, Jacob Elordi, and Harris Dickinson have fueled trader interest in these names, reflecting their alignment with preferences for a younger British or UK-based performer capable of carrying multiple films. Producer Amy Pascal has indicated an announcement by year-end remains a strong possibility, though the methodical approach and historical secrecy around 007 decisions sustain competitive dynamics among the closely matched frontrunners.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$654,113
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next James Bond actor?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "No Bond chosen" at 24%, followed by "Jack Lowden" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next James Bond actor?" has generated $654.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 18, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next James Bond actor?," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next James Bond actor?" is "No Bond chosen" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jack Lowden" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next James Bond actor?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.