Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern secured the MA-02 nomination unopposed in the September 1 primary, reinforcing trader consensus around a Democratic hold. All major forecasters rate the central Massachusetts seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with its longstanding partisan voter index and double-digit margins in prior cycles. The absence of a credible Republican challenger or primary contest has limited any counter-momentum, with the general election set for November 3. A late health event, ethics issue, or unusually strong GOP recruit could narrow the gap, though filing deadlines and current candidate fields leave few realistic pathways for such shifts before November.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMA-02 House Election Winner
MA-02 House Election Winner
$63,229 Vol.
$63,229 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$63,229 Vol.
$63,229 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$35,223 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$28,006 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern secured the MA-02 nomination unopposed in the September 1 primary, reinforcing trader consensus around a Democratic hold. All major forecasters rate the central Massachusetts seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with its longstanding partisan voter index and double-digit margins in prior cycles. The absence of a credible Republican challenger or primary contest has limited any counter-momentum, with the general election set for November 3. A late health event, ethics issue, or unusually strong GOP recruit could narrow the gap, though filing deadlines and current candidate fields leave few realistic pathways for such shifts before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$63,229End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern secured the MA-02 nomination unopposed in the September 1 primary, reinforcing trader consensus around a Democratic hold. All major forecasters rate the central Massachusetts seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with its longstanding partisan voter index and double-digit margins in prior cycles. The absence of a credible Republican challenger or primary contest has limited any counter-momentum, with the general election set for November 3. A late health event, ethics issue, or unusually strong GOP recruit could narrow the gap, though filing deadlines and current candidate fields leave few realistic pathways for such shifts before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$63,229End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern secured the MA-02 nomination unopposed in the September 1 primary, reinforcing trader consensus around a Democratic hold. All major forecasters rate the central Massachusetts seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with its longstanding partisan voter index and double-digit margins in prior cycles. The absence of a credible Republican challenger or primary contest has limited any counter-momentum, with the general election set for November 3. A late health event, ethics issue, or unusually strong GOP recruit could narrow the gap, though filing deadlines and current candidate fields leave few realistic pathways for such shifts before November.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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