Current meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate an overnight low near 20°C in Incheon, driven by clear skies, northeasterly winds at 5–9 m/s, and dry conditions suppressing radiative cooling below typical September baselines. This setup aligns with historical early-September climatology for the region, where minimum temperatures often stabilize around 19–21°C absent frontal systems or enhanced moisture. Trader consensus at 99.5% for 20°C reflects these verified forecast parameters and real-time station data. A sudden shift in wind patterns, increased cloud cover, or late model revisions could push the low to 19°C or lower, though such changes appear unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 6?
20°C 99.4%
19°C <1%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
$11,185 Vol.
$11,185 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
99%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 99.4%
19°C <1%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
$11,185 Vol.
$11,185 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
99%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate an overnight low near 20°C in Incheon, driven by clear skies, northeasterly winds at 5–9 m/s, and dry conditions suppressing radiative cooling below typical September baselines. This setup aligns with historical early-September climatology for the region, where minimum temperatures often stabilize around 19–21°C absent frontal systems or enhanced moisture. Trader consensus at 99.5% for 20°C reflects these verified forecast parameters and real-time station data. A sudden shift in wind patterns, increased cloud cover, or late model revisions could push the low to 19°C or lower, though such changes appear unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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