Recent National Weather Service and local forecasts indicate a Sunday low near 63°F in Denver amid scattered afternoon thunderstorms, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 62–63°F. Key differentiators include storm timing and coverage, which can deliver localized cooling through evaporative effects, gusty winds, or brief heavy rain, versus clearer intervals that allow stronger nocturnal radiative cooling under the city's high-elevation, dry-air regime. Model runs show modest spread in minimum temperatures depending on convective initiation and steering flow, while climatological baselines (average low near 53°F) underscore how current warmth and monsoon moisture sustain elevated readings. Traders appear to weigh the balance between thunderstorm-induced dips below 60°F and more stable conditions supporting the upper 50s to mid-60s.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Denver on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Denver on September 6?
70-71°F 48%
57°F or below 30%
62-63°F 30%
60-61°F 29%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
57°F or below
30%
58-59°F
27%
60-61°F
29%
62-63°F
30%
64-65°F
29%
66-67°F
27%
68-69°F
24%
70-71°F
48%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
7%
76°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 48%
57°F or below 30%
62-63°F 30%
60-61°F 29%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
57°F or below
$0 Vol.
30%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
27%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
29%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
30%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
29%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
27%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
24%
70-71°F
$5 Vol.
48%
72-73°F
$5 Vol.
7%
74-75°F
$5 Vol.
7%
76°F or higher
$40 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and local forecasts indicate a Sunday low near 63°F in Denver amid scattered afternoon thunderstorms, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 62–63°F. Key differentiators include storm timing and coverage, which can deliver localized cooling through evaporative effects, gusty winds, or brief heavy rain, versus clearer intervals that allow stronger nocturnal radiative cooling under the city's high-elevation, dry-air regime. Model runs show modest spread in minimum temperatures depending on convective initiation and steering flow, while climatological baselines (average low near 53°F) underscore how current warmth and monsoon moisture sustain elevated readings. Traders appear to weigh the balance between thunderstorm-induced dips below 60°F and more stable conditions supporting the upper 50s to mid-60s.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$55End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and local forecasts indicate a Sunday low near 63°F in Denver amid scattered afternoon thunderstorms, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 62–63°F. Key differentiators include storm timing and coverage, which can deliver localized cooling through evaporative effects, gusty winds, or brief heavy rain, versus clearer intervals that allow stronger nocturnal radiative cooling under the city's high-elevation, dry-air regime. Model runs show modest spread in minimum temperatures depending on convective initiation and steering flow, while climatological baselines (average low near 53°F) underscore how current warmth and monsoon moisture sustain elevated readings. Traders appear to weigh the balance between thunderstorm-induced dips below 60°F and more stable conditions supporting the upper 50s to mid-60s.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$55End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and local forecasts indicate a Sunday low near 63°F in Denver amid scattered afternoon thunderstorms, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 62–63°F. Key differentiators include storm timing and coverage, which can deliver localized cooling through evaporative effects, gusty winds, or brief heavy rain, versus clearer intervals that allow stronger nocturnal radiative cooling under the city's high-elevation, dry-air regime. Model runs show modest spread in minimum temperatures depending on convective initiation and steering flow, while climatological baselines (average low near 53°F) underscore how current warmth and monsoon moisture sustain elevated readings. Traders appear to weigh the balance between thunderstorm-induced dips below 60°F and more stable conditions supporting the upper 50s to mid-60s.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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