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icon for Love Wins: 2026 Edition

Love Wins: 2026 Edition

icon for Love Wins: 2026 Edition

Love Wins: 2026 Edition

26% chance
Polymarket
NEW
26% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET: - Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce do not get married - Tom Holland and Zendaya do not get married - Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner do not get engaged Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If any mentioned couple announces that they will end their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Love+Wins_+2026+edition+(1).pdf**No** holds a 57% market-implied probability on the "Love Wins: 2026 Edition" market because resolution demands all three celebrity milestones occur by December 31: Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce marrying, Tom Holland and Zendaya marrying, and Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner getting engaged. Swift and Kelce’s long-rumored 2026 wedding plans provide the clearest path forward, yet any slippage in timing or announcement keeps that leg uncertain. Holland and Zendaya show stronger momentum after their late-2024 engagement, with public comments suggesting a private ceremony may already satisfy their condition. The decisive drag remains Chalamet and Jenner, whose relationship since 2023 has produced no confirmed engagement signals amid busy schedules and selective public appearances. Traders weigh these uneven timelines against historical celebrity wedding patterns, where delays or quiet resolutions frequently derail conjunctive bets. Upcoming catalysts include any Swift wedding confirmation, guild or awards-season visibility for the actors, and holiday-period engagement rumors that could shift sentiment before year-end.

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET:

- Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce do not get married
- Tom Holland and Zendaya do not get married
- Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner do not get engaged

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

If any mentioned couple announces that they will end their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Love+Wins_+2026+edition+(1).pdfThis market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET: - Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce do not get married - Tom Holland and Zendaya do not get married - Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner do not get engaged Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If any mentioned couple announces that they will end their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Love+Wins_+2026+edition+(1).pdf
Volume
$4,949
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET: - Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce do not get married - Tom Holland and Zendaya do not get married - Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner do not get engaged Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If any mentioned couple announces that they will end their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Love+Wins_+2026+edition+(1).pdf**No** holds a 57% market-implied probability on the "Love Wins: 2026 Edition" market because resolution demands all three celebrity milestones occur by December 31: Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce marrying, Tom Holland and Zendaya marrying, and Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner getting engaged. Swift and Kelce’s long-rumored 2026 wedding plans provide the clearest path forward, yet any slippage in timing or announcement keeps that leg uncertain. Holland and Zendaya show stronger momentum after their late-2024 engagement, with public comments suggesting a private ceremony may already satisfy their condition. The decisive drag remains Chalamet and Jenner, whose relationship since 2023 has produced no confirmed engagement signals amid busy schedules and selective public appearances. Traders weigh these uneven timelines against historical celebrity wedding patterns, where delays or quiet resolutions frequently derail conjunctive bets. Upcoming catalysts include any Swift wedding confirmation, guild or awards-season visibility for the actors, and holiday-period engagement rumors that could shift sentiment before year-end.

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET:

- Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce do not get married
- Tom Holland and Zendaya do not get married
- Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner do not get engaged

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

If any mentioned couple announces that they will end their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Love+Wins_+2026+edition+(1).pdfThis market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET: - Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce do not get married - Tom Holland and Zendaya do not get married - Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner do not get engaged Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If any mentioned couple announces that they will end their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Love+Wins_+2026+edition+(1).pdf
Volume
$4,949
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Love Wins: 2026 Edition" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 43% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 43¢, the market collectively assigns a 43% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Love Wins: 2026 Edition" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 10, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Love Wins: 2026 Edition," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Love Wins: 2026 Edition" is 43% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 43% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Love Wins: 2026 Edition" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.