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icon for Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?
Finance·Fed

Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

icon for Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?
Finance·Fed

Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

$14,414 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$14,414 Vol.

Polymarket

September 30

$6,660 Vol.

1%

October 31

$5,143 Vol.

2%

November 30

$1,041 Vol.

6%

December 31

$1,570 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify. Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.President Trump's renewed August 2026 effort to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook over pre-appointment mortgage allegations has kept the legal battle over "for cause" removal and central bank independence in focus following the Supreme Court's June 29, 2026, 5-4 ruling that blocked immediate dismissal on procedural grounds while preserving statutory protections. Cook's counsel rejected the claims as unfounded in an August 26 response, returning the matter to district court review amid Cook's 14-year term through 2038. Trader positioning reflects these barriers, with market-implied odds remaining low for near-term departure as proceedings continue without new factual findings or congressional action. Key upcoming catalysts include further litigation milestones and any administration follow-up filings.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.

Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify. Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$14,414
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify. Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.President Trump's renewed August 2026 effort to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook over pre-appointment mortgage allegations has kept the legal battle over "for cause" removal and central bank independence in focus following the Supreme Court's June 29, 2026, 5-4 ruling that blocked immediate dismissal on procedural grounds while preserving statutory protections. Cook's counsel rejected the claims as unfounded in an August 26 response, returning the matter to district court review amid Cook's 14-year term through 2038. Trader positioning reflects these barriers, with market-implied odds remaining low for near-term departure as proceedings continue without new factual findings or congressional action. Key upcoming catalysts include further litigation milestones and any administration follow-up filings.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.

Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify. Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$14,414
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "November 30" at 6%, followed by "December 31" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 6¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 6% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?" has generated $14.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?" is "November 30" at just 6%, with "December 31" close behind at 6%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.