Morgan Stanley’s commanding 81% market-implied probability stems from its leadership of Anthropic’s $15 billion pre-IPO revolving credit facility and recent investor pricing discussions, positioning the bank for the lead-left underwriter role on the planned Nasdaq listing. Goldman Sachs, at 18%, is widely expected to serve as stabilization agent, a lucrative assignment consistent with its recent mandates. JPMorgan, Citigroup, and others trail at under 1% each after securing supporting positions in the credit syndicate. With the S-1 filing now targeted for late September and marketing eyed for mid-October, these assignments reflect the banks’ capital commitments and deal-team allocations ahead of a potential multi-billion-dollar offering valued near $2 trillion.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMorgan Stanley 81%
Goldman Sachs 18%
JPMorgan <1%
Bank of America <1%
$59,856 Vol.
$59,856 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
Morgan Stanley
81%
Goldman Sachs
18%
JPMorgan
<1%
Bank of America
<1%
Citigroup
<1%
Barclays
<1%
UBS
<1%
Deutsche Bank
<1%
Wells Fargo
<1%
Morgan Stanley 81%
Goldman Sachs 18%
JPMorgan <1%
Bank of America <1%
$59,856 Vol.
$59,856 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
Morgan Stanley
$15,676 Vol.
81%
Goldman Sachs
$10,749 Vol.
18%
JPMorgan
$11,162 Vol.
<1%
Bank of America
$4,289 Vol.
<1%
Citigroup
$4,355 Vol.
<1%
Barclays
$3,179 Vol.
<1%
UBS
$3,500 Vol.
<1%
Deutsche Bank
$4,228 Vol.
<1%
Wells Fargo
$2,716 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Morgan Stanley’s commanding 81% market-implied probability stems from its leadership of Anthropic’s $15 billion pre-IPO revolving credit facility and recent investor pricing discussions, positioning the bank for the lead-left underwriter role on the planned Nasdaq listing. Goldman Sachs, at 18%, is widely expected to serve as stabilization agent, a lucrative assignment consistent with its recent mandates. JPMorgan, Citigroup, and others trail at under 1% each after securing supporting positions in the credit syndicate. With the S-1 filing now targeted for late September and marketing eyed for mid-October, these assignments reflect the banks’ capital commitments and deal-team allocations ahead of a potential multi-billion-dollar offering valued near $2 trillion.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
Volume
$59,856End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Morgan Stanley’s commanding 81% market-implied probability stems from its leadership of Anthropic’s $15 billion pre-IPO revolving credit facility and recent investor pricing discussions, positioning the bank for the lead-left underwriter role on the planned Nasdaq listing. Goldman Sachs, at 18%, is widely expected to serve as stabilization agent, a lucrative assignment consistent with its recent mandates. JPMorgan, Citigroup, and others trail at under 1% each after securing supporting positions in the credit syndicate. With the S-1 filing now targeted for late September and marketing eyed for mid-October, these assignments reflect the banks’ capital commitments and deal-team allocations ahead of a potential multi-billion-dollar offering valued near $2 trillion.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$59,856End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Morgan Stanley’s commanding 81% market-implied probability stems from its leadership of Anthropic’s $15 billion pre-IPO revolving credit facility and recent investor pricing discussions, positioning the bank for the lead-left underwriter role on the planned Nasdaq listing. Goldman Sachs, at 18%, is widely expected to serve as stabilization agent, a lucrative assignment consistent with its recent mandates. JPMorgan, Citigroup, and others trail at under 1% each after securing supporting positions in the credit syndicate. With the S-1 filing now targeted for late September and marketing eyed for mid-October, these assignments reflect the banks’ capital commitments and deal-team allocations ahead of a potential multi-billion-dollar offering valued near $2 trillion.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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